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U.S. "fiscal cliff" deal only provides short-term relief: analysts

English.news.cn   2013-01-03 06:44:36            
 • Markets worldwide rallied Wednesday after U.S. Congress averted the fiscal cliff.
 • However, analysts said U.S. lawmakers simply kicked the can down the road.
 • Spending cuts are a highly incendiary topic for Democrats and Republicans.

 

U.S. President Barack Obama (R) delivers a statement at the White House in Washington DC., the United States, Jan. 1, 2013. The U.S. House of Representatives passed a Senate bill Tuesday night, giving the final congressional approval to the bipartisan compromise to avert the 'fiscal cliff'. (Xinhua/Zhang Jun)
U.S. President Barack Obama (R) delivers a statement at the White House in Washington DC., the United States, Jan. 1, 2013. The U.S. House of Representatives passed a Senate bill Tuesday night, giving the final congressional approval to the bipartisan compromise to avert the "fiscal cliff". (Xinhua/Zhang Jun)


by Matthew Rusling

WASHINGTON, Jan. 2 (Xinhua) -- Markets worldwide rallied Wednesday after U.S. Congress averted the fiscal cliff, but the deal failed to address the massive spending that threatens the world's economic growth engine, analysts said.

The world's eyes have been fixed on Washington amid a nail biter that saw Congress cut an eleventh-hour deal to avert the " fiscal cliff" -- a spate of tax hikes and spending cuts that economists said would trigger another recession.

The deal caused markets to soar, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closing up 3 percent, London's FTSE 100 index seeing an 18- month high and numerous green arrows in New York's stock exchange.

However, analysts said U.S. lawmakers simply kicked the can down the road, and the Jan.1 agreement adds 4 trillion U.S. dollars over the next decade to the already massive U.S. debt, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office.

Moreover, another battle looms in February when the bitterly divided U.S. Congress must agree over a debt ceiling, and some analysts expect more gridlock to come.

"At the moment there is a relief rally going on," said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group and frequent guest on PBS' Nightly Business Report.

"But I think now we're going to have to deal with phase two of that poison pill," he said, referring to cutting federal spending and the upcoming debt ceiling talks.

U.S. Congress has tied the economy to a bungee cord, he said. " We jumped off the cliff temporarily on January 1st, then came the deal on taxes, so we came back up safely back on the cliff. But now we may go back off the cliff if there is no agreement on the spending side."

Spending cuts are a highly incendiary topic for Democrats and Republicans. "They go right to the very core of the philosophical difference between the two parties," he said, adding that he foresees a heated debate over the next two months on the issue.

Still, he emphasized the belief that Congress and the White House will ultimately strike a deal.

Andy Busch, editor and publisher of the Busch Update, a financial and political newsletter, billed the "fiscal cliff" deal as a "short term positive, long term negative."

He noted positive outcomes including extension of the Bush tax cuts for families earning less than 450,000 U.S. dollars per year and that both capital gains and dividend tax rates rose only by 5 percent, which has helped markets rally.

Related:

U.S. "fiscal cliff" fix plan averts immediate pain, leaves problems unresolved

WASHINGTON, Jan. 1 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. Congress has finally muddled through the recession-inducing "fiscal cliff" with a stopgap bill. The bipartisan plan, which blocked most impending tax increases and put off spending cuts, left a slew of issues unresolved. The United States averted the worst case scenario of the fiscal woes, but another budget battle may lie just ahead.

By a vote of 257 to 167, the U.S. House of Representatives approved a Senate bill late on Tuesday night, ending weeks of political bickering around the "fiscal cliff" -- massive tax hikes and across-the-board spending cuts that are due to take effect on Tuesday. Full story

U.S. Senate "fiscal cliff" bill adds 4 trillion USD deficit: CBO

WASHINGTON, Jan. 1 (Xinhua) -- The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) on Tuesday said the Senate-passed bill to avert the "fiscal cliff" would add roughly 4 trillion dollars to federal deficit over a decade, largely because it would extend low tax rates for most Americans. Full story

U.S. Congress misses "fiscal cliff" deadline despite Senate bill

WASHINGTON, Jan. 1 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. Senate passed a plan to avert the "fiscal cliff" at midnight Monday, which would extend current tax rates for most American households and postpone the automatic spending cuts that threaten a new recession. Full story

U.S. Senate passes "fiscal cliff" deal

WASHINGTON, Jan. 1 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. Senate passed a plan to avert the "fiscal cliff" at midnight Monday, which would extend current tax rates for most American households and postpone the automatic spending cuts that threaten a new recession. Full story

Commentary: Over the "cliff," the real devil is "fiscal abyss"

BEIJING, Jan. 1 (Xinhua) -- After coming too dangerously close to the "fiscal cliff," U.S. politicians have reportedly reached a deal to avoid sharp tax increases and deep spending cuts. Full story

White House, Republicans reach deal on fiscal cliff: U.S. media

WASHINGTON, Dec. 31 (Xinhua) -- The White House and Senate Republicans have reached a deal to avert the "fiscal cliff," U.S. media reported Monday night. Full story

Commentary: Frustrating fiscal talks expose deficiencies of U.S. political system

BEIJING, Jan. 1 (Xinhua) -- The American people were once better known for their ability to make tough choices on difficult issues. Full story




Editor: Tang Danlu
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