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Over half of Americans predict Obama to win re-election: poll

English.news.cn   2012-11-01 01:33:20            
 • Over half of Americans believed Obama will win re-election while over a third saw Romney more like a winner.
 • Democrats are relatively more confident, with 86 percent predicting an Obama victory..
 • A total of 71 percent of Republicans predict Romney will win.


WASHINGTON, Oct. 31 (Xinhua) -- More than half of Americans believed U.S. President Barack Obama will win re-election while over a third saw Republican challenger Mitt Romney more like a winner, according to a latest Gallup poll released on Wednesday.

The poll was conducted between Oct. 27 and 28 before Superstorm Sandy hit the East Coast. The poll found that 54 percent and 34 percent of Americans thought Obama and Romney will win the 2012 presidential election respectively. The views are roughly similar to findings of previous Gallup polls in May and August, although slightly more Americans now had no opinion about who will win the close race.

Democrats are relatively more confident in their party's nominee, with 86 percent predicting an Obama victory. A total of 71 percent of Republicans predict Romney will win, while nearly a fifth of Republicans see their candidate losing to Obama. Independents predict Obama to win by 52 percent to 32 percent.

The findings in such a close race may be the result of Obama's status as the incumbent and reflects a somewhat lower level of confidence among Republicans that their candidate will win, wrote Gallup's analyst Andrew Dugan and editor-in-chief Frank Newport in their analysis.

The incumbents usually have a natural advantage in public opinion as a probable winner in a re-election bid, which had been echoed by findings of Gallup polls in 2004 and 1996.

Related:

U.S. voter turnout likely to fall short of previous two elections: poll

WASHINGTON, Oct. 30 (Xinhua) -- Voter turnout in the 2012 U.S. presidential election will fall short of what it was in 2004 and 2008, a pollster said Tuesday.

Registered voters reported giving less thought to the election, and were less likely to rate their chance of voting than in 2004 and 2008, two higher-turnout elections, the national pollster Gallup said. Full story

Asian Americans could be x factor in U.S. race for swing states

WASHINGTON, Oct. 27 (Xinhua) -- Asian Americans could determine the electoral outcome in U.S. swing states with large Asian populations, as President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are neck-and-neck in the race, experts said.

In undecided states with rapidly growing Asian-American populations such as Nevada and Virginia, Asian Americans could provide the push that puts either candidate over the finish line amid a neck-in-neck race, said Mee Moua, president of the Asian American Justice Center and former Minnesota state senator, in an interview with Xinhua. Full story

 

Editor: Bi Mingxin
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