In-depth

Prospects unclear as U.S. hobbles away from 2 wars

English.news.cn   2011-12-13 19:28:16            

by Xinhua writer Ran Wei

WASHINGTON, Dec. 13 (Xinhua) -- The United States is shifting its focus to the Asia-Pacific region as it pulls out of Iraq and Afghanistan, ending the chronic wars that have sapped the country's political strength and international influence.

The two costly, bloody wars reflect America's contradicting "must win" but "cannot stand the loss" mentality, exposing the vulnerability of the strongest military force in the world.

They also underscored the country's persistent effort to maintain its global hegemonic position, a foreign policy that has not changed for decades.

If it continues to seek global predominance at the expense of other countries' interests, the United States perhaps will face a more humiliating collapse of its power and prestige.

LOSING MORE THAN IT GAINS IN TWO WARS

Launched in 2001 and 2003, respectively, to topple down the Taliban and Saddam regimes, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have been painfully expensive in money and lives. More than 6,300 U.S. troops have been killed, with another almost 40,000 severely injured.

Meanwhile, 1.3 trillion U.S. dollars has been spent in the two wars, with the number still increasing, according to a recent estimate by the Congressional Research Service.

Since the 9/11 terrorist attacks in 2001, the U.S. defense budget climbed from 304 billion dollars to 616 billion in 2008, with another 75 billion dollars spent annually on domestic anti-terror measures.

Aggravated by the recent global financial crisis, the country is now mired in debt. Federal debt soared from 5.6 trillion dollars in 2001 to the current 15 trillion dollars-plus.

Some people say the two wars have dealt a blow to al-Qaida and other terrorist groups and spared the United States from another major terrorist strike.

But as Melvyn Leffler, history professor of U.S. foreign policy at the University of Virginia, told Xinhua, the United States "has suffered more than it has gained" at least in the short to intermediate terms.

The U.S. inability to execute its goals in Iraq and Afghanistan has put the two wars into question and damaged the country's prestige.

It is perhaps no exaggeration to say that both wars are kind of humiliation for the world's biggest power.

"They are not as bad as the one from Vietnam in the 1970s, but it is bad enough in terms of a blow to U.S. prestige," Ted Carpenter, a senior fellow with the Washington-based Cato Institute, told Xinhua.

Meanwhile, the two wars also upset the regional strategic balance. Anti-American sentiment among Muslims has been inflamed, while Iran's influence has expanded in the Middle East. The number of terrorist attacks has not decreased in a measurable way globally, and the world's security situation has not improved significantly.

Americans seem to have a conflicting view of war. With the world's most powerful military, the country is ready to defeat any rival, but as losses grow heavy, citizens and political elites alike become increasingly impatient with what they see as military "black holes."

WITHDRAWALS INEVITABLE

As more and more policymakers see the two wars as a heavy burden to U.S. strength and international status, the public's anti-war sentiment grows and, amid economic recession and high unemployment, more and more Americans demand a speedy end to the wars.

Former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said in a speech in Washington D.C. last month: "We selected objectives beyond the capacity of the American domestic consensus to support over the period required to implement them," citing the U.S. military interventions on the Korean peninsula, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan.

The two "unwinnable" wars, plus economic difficulties, made troop withdrawals from Iraq and Afghanistan inevitable, analysts say.

On June 22, President Barack Obama announced that 10,000 U.S. troops would leave Afghanistan by the end of this year and another 23,000 would head home by September 2012. The ultimate goal is to transfer leading security responsibility to Afghan forces by 2014.

On Oct. 21, Obama said the U.S. troop pull-out from Iraq would be completed by the end of the year, ending the almost nine-year war.

Despite substantial troop cutbacks and the end of U.S. involvement now in sight, troubles in the two countries continue.

Iraq is now a weak country with fragile stability and unity. This does not fulfill the U.S. goal of turning it into a stable and pro-West democracy. Recently, America could not even strike an agreement with Iraq to allow its military trainers to stay.

The endgame in Afghanistan may be worse. After 10 years of fighting, there are few lasting benefits apparent. Increasing signals suggest Afghanistan could return to its fractious nature.

The two countries are likely to remain America's headaches.

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Editor: Yang Lina
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