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News Analysis: Syria ceasefire marks big step forward, but remains fragile

Source: Xinhua 2016-02-24 15:07:23
[Editor: huaxia]

UN-NEW YORK-SECURITY COUNCIL-SYRIA-ATTACK

NEW YORK, Feb. 23, 2016 (Xinhua) -- Rafael Ramirez, permanent representative of Venezuela to the United Nations and rotating President of the Security Council of February, addresses the press at the UN headquarters in New York, Feb. 23, 2016. UN Security Council on Tuesday condemned in the strongest terms the terrorist attacks in Homs and Damascus, Syria, on Feb. 21, which left more than 130 people dead and hundreds injured, said a press statement of the council. (Xinhua/Li Muzi)

DAMASCUS, Feb. 24 (Xinhua) -- The newly-announced cessation of hostilities in Syria marks a major step forward towards a political solution to the country's crisis, but analysts warn the ceasefire could be very fragile considering the complexity of Syria's situation.

On Tuesday, the Syrian government and rebel groups accepted a plan for a cessation of hostilities beginning Saturday, as agreed upon by the United States and Russia.

The ceasefire plan is welcomed by the United Nations as "a signal of hope" for an end to the nearly five-year-old conflict. However, analysts say its implementation faces many challenges as enmity between the warring sides remains.

The first source of concern here is the blurring distinction between extremists groups and opposition forces. In other words, who on earth are the "terrorists"?

In a joint statement, the United States and Russia made it clear that the ceasefire agreement will not apply to "Daesh," also known as the Islamic State, the Al-Nusra Front, or other terrorist organizations designated by the UN Security Council.

However, the boundaries between extremist groups and opposition forces are not so clear on the battleground of Syria.

As some analysts have observed, extremist groups are now increasingly infiltrating the opposition forces, and it is commonplace in Syria that several different armed forces form an alliance, uniting together to fight against government troops.

The rebel alliance Army of Conquest is a good example. The coalition,which has seized Syria's northwestern province of Idlib, is composed of dozens of small opposition groups which aim to overthrow the Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, as well as a range of mostly jihadist and Islamist groups, the most prominent being Al-Qaeda affiliate Al-Nusra Front.

Secondly, government troops, backed by further Russian air strikes, might not be quite willing to stop military operations at a time when they have been gaining the upper hand in the prolonged conflict.

President al-Assad has said recently he was ready for a ceasefire in Syria only on condition that the "terrorists" did not exploit it.

He said in an interview with the Spanish El Pais Newspaper that for the truce to hold terror groups must be prevented from "using it to improve their positions."

He also insisted that any ceasefire deal must ensure that other countries are prevented from sending over more terrorists and weapons, or any kind of logistical support.

"If we don't provide all these requirements for the ceasefire, it will harm stability. It's going to make more chaos in Syria," the president said.

Washington's motives are a third source of concern. Andrew Tabler, an expert on Syria at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, pointed out that "Washington's stated policy is not to end the Syrian war."

"They just want to settle it down so it boils a little more slowly. It's yet another attempt to contain a conflict that has been uncontainable," he said.

Tabler also added that true peace will not come until the regime of president al-Assad can reach an agreement with the opposition rebels.

Related:

Western leaders hope Syria accord to take effect "as soon as possible"

PARIS, Feb. 23 (Xinhua) -- Leaders of France, Germany, the United States and Britain on Tuesday hoped the accord to end hostilities in Syria would take effect "as soon as possible," French presidential office, the Elysee said.

French President Francois Hollande spoke with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, his American counterpart and British Premier David Cameron about the situation in Syria. Full story

Obama, major western leaders urge for faithful implementation of Syria ceasefire deal

WASHINGTON, Feb. 23 (Xinhua) -- U.S. President Barack Obama and his counterparts in France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Tuesday urged all parties in Syria to implement faithfully the just-concluded ceasefire agreement and bring lasting peace to the war-torn country.

Obama discussed the deal via video conference with British Prime Minister David Cameron, French President Francois Hollande and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, the White House said in a statement. Full story

UN Security Council slams deadly attacks in Syria, calls for negotiations

UNITED NATIONS, Feb. 23 (Xinhua) -- UN Security Council on Tuesday condemned in the strongest terms the terrorist attacks in Homs and Damascus, Syria, on Feb. 21, which left more than 130 people dead and hundreds injured, said a press statement of the council.

The Islamic State (IS) has claimed responsibility for these attacks and the council reaffirmed its grave concern over IS and other groups operating in the region, and "condemned the negative impact of their presence, violent extremist ideology and actions on the stability of Syria, neighbouring countries and the region," said the statement. Full story

[Editor: huaxia]
 
News Analysis: Syria ceasefire marks big step forward, but remains fragile
                 Source: Xinhua | 2016-02-24 15:07:23 | Editor: huaxia

UN-NEW YORK-SECURITY COUNCIL-SYRIA-ATTACK

NEW YORK, Feb. 23, 2016 (Xinhua) -- Rafael Ramirez, permanent representative of Venezuela to the United Nations and rotating President of the Security Council of February, addresses the press at the UN headquarters in New York, Feb. 23, 2016. UN Security Council on Tuesday condemned in the strongest terms the terrorist attacks in Homs and Damascus, Syria, on Feb. 21, which left more than 130 people dead and hundreds injured, said a press statement of the council. (Xinhua/Li Muzi)

DAMASCUS, Feb. 24 (Xinhua) -- The newly-announced cessation of hostilities in Syria marks a major step forward towards a political solution to the country's crisis, but analysts warn the ceasefire could be very fragile considering the complexity of Syria's situation.

On Tuesday, the Syrian government and rebel groups accepted a plan for a cessation of hostilities beginning Saturday, as agreed upon by the United States and Russia.

The ceasefire plan is welcomed by the United Nations as "a signal of hope" for an end to the nearly five-year-old conflict. However, analysts say its implementation faces many challenges as enmity between the warring sides remains.

The first source of concern here is the blurring distinction between extremists groups and opposition forces. In other words, who on earth are the "terrorists"?

In a joint statement, the United States and Russia made it clear that the ceasefire agreement will not apply to "Daesh," also known as the Islamic State, the Al-Nusra Front, or other terrorist organizations designated by the UN Security Council.

However, the boundaries between extremist groups and opposition forces are not so clear on the battleground of Syria.

As some analysts have observed, extremist groups are now increasingly infiltrating the opposition forces, and it is commonplace in Syria that several different armed forces form an alliance, uniting together to fight against government troops.

The rebel alliance Army of Conquest is a good example. The coalition,which has seized Syria's northwestern province of Idlib, is composed of dozens of small opposition groups which aim to overthrow the Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, as well as a range of mostly jihadist and Islamist groups, the most prominent being Al-Qaeda affiliate Al-Nusra Front.

Secondly, government troops, backed by further Russian air strikes, might not be quite willing to stop military operations at a time when they have been gaining the upper hand in the prolonged conflict.

President al-Assad has said recently he was ready for a ceasefire in Syria only on condition that the "terrorists" did not exploit it.

He said in an interview with the Spanish El Pais Newspaper that for the truce to hold terror groups must be prevented from "using it to improve their positions."

He also insisted that any ceasefire deal must ensure that other countries are prevented from sending over more terrorists and weapons, or any kind of logistical support.

"If we don't provide all these requirements for the ceasefire, it will harm stability. It's going to make more chaos in Syria," the president said.

Washington's motives are a third source of concern. Andrew Tabler, an expert on Syria at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, pointed out that "Washington's stated policy is not to end the Syrian war."

"They just want to settle it down so it boils a little more slowly. It's yet another attempt to contain a conflict that has been uncontainable," he said.

Tabler also added that true peace will not come until the regime of president al-Assad can reach an agreement with the opposition rebels.

Related:

Western leaders hope Syria accord to take effect "as soon as possible"

PARIS, Feb. 23 (Xinhua) -- Leaders of France, Germany, the United States and Britain on Tuesday hoped the accord to end hostilities in Syria would take effect "as soon as possible," French presidential office, the Elysee said.

French President Francois Hollande spoke with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, his American counterpart and British Premier David Cameron about the situation in Syria. Full story

Obama, major western leaders urge for faithful implementation of Syria ceasefire deal

WASHINGTON, Feb. 23 (Xinhua) -- U.S. President Barack Obama and his counterparts in France, Germany and the United Kingdom on Tuesday urged all parties in Syria to implement faithfully the just-concluded ceasefire agreement and bring lasting peace to the war-torn country.

Obama discussed the deal via video conference with British Prime Minister David Cameron, French President Francois Hollande and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, the White House said in a statement. Full story

UN Security Council slams deadly attacks in Syria, calls for negotiations

UNITED NATIONS, Feb. 23 (Xinhua) -- UN Security Council on Tuesday condemned in the strongest terms the terrorist attacks in Homs and Damascus, Syria, on Feb. 21, which left more than 130 people dead and hundreds injured, said a press statement of the council.

The Islamic State (IS) has claimed responsibility for these attacks and the council reaffirmed its grave concern over IS and other groups operating in the region, and "condemned the negative impact of their presence, violent extremist ideology and actions on the stability of Syria, neighbouring countries and the region," said the statement. Full story

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