BEIJING, Sept. 3 -- In the light of the key areas and issues that deserve
pivotal emphasis in China's current economic thrust, I propose the following.
First, concentrate more on changing the growth pattern and lose no time in
promoting economic restructuring.
Fueled by the 4-trillion-yuan (586 billion USD) stimulus package, a
better-than-expected overall performance has taken place in China's economy. The
investment-driven force is essential at present, but there will be hidden risks
in the medium and long term if no other supporting measures and reform moves are
adopted in time. In the coming decades, the key to China's modernization drive
would lie in grasping opportunities offered by the new economies in the
information age, effectively responding to resource and environment constraints
and achieving a transition from an extensive growth mode to an intensive one.
In the face of the positive changes in the national economy, the Chinese
government should endeavor to accelerate the transition of the country's growth
pattern, structural readjustment and deepen reforms, so as to achieve a better
combination of short-term macro-control policies and the medium- and long-term
goals.
The second priority is to deepen innovation and supporting reforms in the
consumption sphere, and let economic stimulus policies and measures have full
play.
In the investment sphere, continue to carry out the 4-trillion-yuan fiscal
stimulus package and a number of industrial revitalization programs,
highlighting the rational selection of appropriate projects. After conducting
careful project selection through feasibility demonstrations, it is of vital
importance to stress on project supervision, avoiding quality problems, in order
to make the pull effect of fund input and construction projects come into full
play.
In the consumption sphere, a series of effective measures and new working
mechanisms have been adopted, such as promoting medical reform, implementing
free compulsory education, housing projects for low-income urban residents,
improving urban subsistence allowance standard and introducing a new type of
rural cooperative medical system and rural basic pension plan. All these will
definitely reduce people's insecurity and increase their consumption. However,
the government should pay more attention to the principle of fairness in
reforming the income distribution system and strengthen its function in
regulating income redistribution to narrow the widening gap between the rich and
the poor.
The third issue is paying close attention to the "capital asset price
bubble" problem and the stable and healthy development of the real estate
market.
The current overall price level in China indicates there is no obvious
inflationary pressure, nor is risk of deflation imminent. Yet, we should give
necessary attention to the rapid rise of asset price in the real estate market,
as some people have raised questions about the re-emergence of asset bubbles.
Recent months have seen a slight growth in China's stock, auto and real estate
markets, which was a general reflection of national economic performance.
Although China's stock market is yet to be further standardized, we cannot deny
its effect as a "barometer".
More efforts should be made in building low-rent housing, which is
conducive to solving the urgent problem of accommodating a large number of
medium- and low-income urban residents. It is time to develop more inexpensive
commercial houses and maintain a fair competition in the real estate market.
The fourth point is to promote taxation reform in accordance with overall
needs with an emphasis on the function of taxation regulation.
The good momentum seen in national economic recovery gave us a good
opportunity to consider an upward adjustment of resources tax right now. In
order to accelerate the growth mode transition, the relative price of resources
should be raised, so as to drive the whole society to better treasure energy
resources and economize on primary products, and to activate all individuals,
enterprises and institutions to develop energy conservation products, equipment
and technologies.
Property tax reform should be put on the agenda as soon as possible, as
this will be conducive to the functional transition of the local government,
implementation of tax-sharing system under provincial level and the healthy
development of the real estate market. We cannot expect overnight success in
property tax reform but can focus on an operational reform scheme.
The personal income tax "threshold" should be further adjusted by raising
the benchmark point of the tax and lowering tax rate on medium- and low-income
people in tandem with the national economic growth and residents' increasing
income.
Right now, the personal income tax rate in China is divided into nine
categories ranging between 5 percent and 45 percent. In order to lower the tax
rate for low-income residents, the categories of tax rate could be reduced to
five, and the disparity of different tax rates be enlarged. And the lowest tax
rate can be cut from 5 percent to 1 percent.
Through such reforms, the government can substantially reduce the tax
burden on medium- and low-income groups and increase the levy on high-income
groups, thus bringing into full play the regulatory role of income tax.
The author is director of the Institute for Fiscal Science Research under
Ministry of Finance.
(Source: China Daily)