Beijing, July 31-- In the
US-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue that ended on Tuesday, Chinese Vice
Premier Wang Qishan urged the US, among other things, to recognize China's
status as a market economy.
The status of market economy is important as it
relates to the anti-dumping cases in international trade disputes. When China
joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, it made a great concession in
the form of agreement to treatment as a non-market economy (NME) for up to 15
years.
A country that is subject to anti-dumping
investigations is classified as either a "market economy" (ME) or a "non-market
economy" (NME). Russia was recognized as a ME in 2002. Currently China is in the
NME league together with Albania, Cambodia, Kazakhstan and Vietnam.
The nasty consequence of being classified as a NME is
that in anti-dumping investigations, China's input factory prices cannot be used
in the calculation of fair market value of end export products. Price data from
a "surrogate" country, often times India, are typically used instead. The use of
surrogate country data often leads to unfavorable rulings for Chinese exporters
and higher dumping duties.
In many cases, the choice of surrogate country is a
significant source of bias, often serving as a convenient tool to accommodate
political pressures from domestic competitors.
In the famous furniture anti-dumping case against
China in 2004, the US Commerce Department even arrogantly refused to consider
this argument on the grounds that there was not enough time.
If you have stayed in China for over a week, you
should reach the intuitive conclusion that China has a market-oriented
environment similar to many countries in the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD).
Barring a few strategic economic sectors with
significant government ownership (ie banking, telecommunications, transport,
energy), a phenomenon which is not abnormal in many other market economies, most
other sectors are competitive with hundreds of companies as players with
razor-thin profit margins.
6-factor
analysis
And this is particularly true for the exports sector,
where anti-dumping is most relevant. The majority of China's exports come from
foreign-invested joint ventures and indigenous private firms.
Now of course arguing based on intuition and casual
observations is never adequate. Let us quickly walk through the six-factor
analysis that the US Commerce Department uses to review a country's market
economy status.
This by no means implies the author's agreement with
the logical connections between these criteria and the statutory definition of
the market economy as it appears in the Tariff Act of 1930, 19 U.S.C. 1677(18),
but we will leave its discourse for another day.
The first factor is probably the largest stumbling
block - whether the country's currency is freely convertible. But China is on
course to the free float of the yuan within a time period probably shorter than
many experts would expect, with authorization this month of the yuan as
settlement currency by overseas enterprises being a first step in such
direction.
But on the other hand, while the US is paying lip
service to urging China moving toward a market economy, it probably is the last
country in blessing the free convertibility of the yuan, as the dominant global
status of the US dollar is at stake.
As a result, it may be a good idea for China to
announce a phased plan for yuan convertibility in exchange for Washington's
recognition of its market economy.
The second factor concerns the degree to which wage
rates were determined by free bargaining between labor and management.
Well, speaking of government's meddling in wages, the
federal minimum wage in the US was increased from US$6.55 an hour to US$7.25
just last Friday, a whopping 11 percent increase.
The third factor addresses the extent to which
foreign investment is welcomed.
No further explanation is needed here, given that
China has attracted the largest amount foreign direct investment in the world
consistently for decades.
The fourth factor examines the extent of government
ownership in corporations in the economy. As alluded to earlier, Chinese
government's shareholding is limited to a few strategic economic sectors, which
is not uncommon among OECD countries.
The issue seems to be less thorny as the tide of
government bailouts and corporate nationalization swept through much of Europe
and the US lately.
The fifth factor looks at the extent of government
controls over the allocation of resources and over the price and output decision
of enterprises.
This actually refers to the functions of the old but
now defunct national economic planning ministry in a Soviet-style planned
economy. China bid farewell to this a long time ago.
The last factor refers to "other factors as the
administering authority considers appropriate."
Although it can be subject to different
interpretations, the Russia review in 2002 actually paid much of the attention
to the incidence of barter transactions, a phenomenon long gone in China many
years ago.
In short, the non-market-economy status for China has
outlived its time to the extent that it would be even embarrassing to think of
cities like Beijing and Shanghai as part of a non-market economy for any foreign
expatriates living there.
As China and the US move toward a strategic and
constructive relationship, recognizing China as a market economy is an important
step in preventing future trade frictions.
(Source: Shanghai
Daily)