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Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown speaks during a
visit to a National Health Service (NHS) centre in central London, July
24, 2009. Europe's drug watchdog has begun reviewing data on pandemic flu
vaccines with the goal of getting medicines to protect against the H1N1
virus approved before flu season starts in the Northern Hemisphere, likely
in September.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo
Gallery>>> |
LONDON July 25 (Xinhua) -- People in Britain may
wonder how many new cases of H1N1/A flu increased in this week, since the
authority just announced there are 100,000 new cases in last week, which lead to
different opinions in the public.
"The Government has stated that
there have been 100,000 cases of swine flu. I'm not so sure," said Max
Pemberton, a senior doctor. "Because of logistical considerations around testing
everyone with suspect symptoms, most diagnoses are clinical, rather than
laboratory-based. I suspect this leads to a high false-positive rate."
He thought that the "National Pandemic Flu Service,"
a website launched on July 23 to enable self-diagnosis, will make the sensation
even worse.
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A woman reads a H1N1 flu virus warning sign outside a
hospital in London, July 22, 2009. There are an estimated 55,000 new cases
of swine flu in Britain a week, although in most cases the symptoms are
mild.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo
Gallery>>> |
The National Flu Pandemic website, which launched at
3 pm on Thursday, was receiving 2,600 hits per second - or 9.3 million hits per
hour ¨C at around 5 pm. The huge volume of traffic caused the site to temporarily
crash but it was running smoothly again a short time later.
That phenomenon may illustrate the panic in the
general population, which may be influenced by predictive numbers released by
the authorities: 65,000 deaths in "the worst scenario," "100,000 new cases in a
week" and even "cases could reach 100,000 a day by late August."
"Nobody has a cold, or a stomach bug, or a headache
any more: everyone has swine flu," says Pemberton.
The authorities has said "100,000" is based on
"flu-like illness" and "a range of assumptions," which gives a range of 60,000 -
140,000, where 100,000 is the mostly probable. But it is always the final one
number that catches eyeballs, not its technological background.
As for the "worst scenario" of 65,000 deaths, a
comment on the Daily Telegraph said: "Yet it is a sound rule of thumb in public
health matters that it is wiser to prepare for the worst, and that is what the
Department of Health has done."
But also on the website of Daily Telegraph, many
people expressed different opinions. One man named John Turner posted: "The
government have allowed the media to sensationalize swine flu as it draws
peoples' attention away from things like ministers' expenses and the economy
amongst other things."
Special Report:
World Tackles A/H1N1
Flu
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