LOS ANGELES, June 6 (Xinhua) -- Weather patterns over
the Eastern Pacific may be setting up for an El Nino pattern this fall, possibly
portending an end to California's recent drought, scientists said in remarks
published on Saturday.
Longterm forecasts generated at the Scripps
Institution of Oceanography at the University of California in San Diego
indicate that an El Nino is forming, as the conditions seem ripe for an increase
in sea temperatures and ocean levels off Peru, climate researcher David Pierce
told the San Diego Union-Tribune.
"We are forecasting an El Nino this year," said
Pierce. "Hopefully, it will bring a little more rain, not only to San Diego but
to the entire Southwest.
"That would be quite nice," he told the
Union-Tribune.
That forecast was echoed by the lead scientist at the
Climate Prediction Center in Maryland, as well as the University of Washington's
Climate Impacts group.
And the forecasts come as the region is in the midst
of an unusual summer weather pattern, with winter-style cold pressure systems
dropping significant rainfall during what is usually the driest month of the
year.
El Ninos are the name given by Peruvian fishermen to
a periodic migration of tropically-warm water to the Eastern Pacific, where
water is usually cold because of polar flows. They have sometimes caused
rainfall to double or triple from normal levels in California.
Within the past few days, meteorologists around the
world have sounded the alarm about a possible El Nino. The forecasts include
possible droughts in Australia, more typhoons to hit the Philippines, and a
decrease in Atlantic Coast hurricanes making landfall on the U.S.
Five years of drought have left major water storage
lakes in California half-full, and the governor has proclaimed a statewide
drought emergency. But strange weather patterns have left full storage lakes to
the east, in Arizona, and the deserts of Riverside County are green this June,
when they are usually seasonally brown.
"If winds and currents start working in concert, the
ocean could warm rapidly," said Nathan Mantua at the Washington school. "A
powerful El Nino on the level of the 1997-98 event is possible."