BEIJING, May 19 (Xinhua) -- China should reform its
social security system in a bid to boost domestic demand and transform the
growth mode that relies too much on exports, economists said here Tuesday.
Vivek Arora, IMF's chief representative in China,
told a financial forum that China will have to rely more on domestic consumption
if it seeks to repeat its economic miracle over the past 30 years.
Exports, the pillar of China's growth, collapsed late
last year as the major markets, including the United States, Japan and the
European Union, entered recession.
China's economy therefore suffered sharp slowdown.
The gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 9 percent year on year in 2008 and6.1
percent in the first quarter of 2009, compared with 13 percent in 2007.
Economists warned that it is not easy to revive
Chinese economy by boosting domestic demand as many citizens are unwilling to
spend because of the lack of sufficient social security.
"China should carry out social security reforms, such
as in medical care, pension fund and education, to reduce economic uncertainty
and boost higher spending," Arora said at the two-day China Finance Summit,
which ends Wednesday.
He acknowledged that China's economic data for March
and April has shown signs of recovery as its 4-trillion-yuan (585 billion U.S.
dollars) stimulus package fed through the economy.
The infrastructure-focused government spending could
ease the slowdown in the short term, but it might not be the solution in the
long run, Arora stated.
Pier Carlo Padoan, deputy secretary of the OECD, told
Xinhua that many countries need to change their growth models and in China, the
government should improve social security for that purpose.
Padoan added that he is convinced that China will
succeed in transforming the growth mode to rely more on domestic consumption.
Eric Maskin, the 2007 Nobel Prize Laureate in
Economics, told reporters that he anticipated the high saving rate in China to
turn into more domestic consumption.
China's saving rate rose to 49.9 percent in 2007 from
37.5 percent around 1998, compared with 4.2 percent in the United States in
February this year.
Arora added that China should encourage major banks
to provide more funding to small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) to help them
ride out of the crisis.
Chinese banks usually lend to big state-owned
enterprises and infrastructure projects while shying away from SMEs for fear of
bigger bad loan risk.
Arora said that despite the slowdown, China might
continue to be the largest contributor to the world's economic recovery because
many other major economies see their GDP contracting.
The IMF official said the global economy will not
repeat the Great Depression in the 1930s as the countries worldwide have taken
forcible and coordinated efforts to tackle the crisis.
Maskin said the global financial crisis might come to
an end by the end of the year and the financial market will return to normal
again next year. However, he admitted that it will take longer for the real
economy to recover.