GENEVA, May 11 (Xinhua) -- The World Health
Organization (WHO) on Monday issued some preliminary observations about the
A/H1N1 flu virus, which has caused dozens of deaths and infected people in some
30 countries.
The following are some main points of the
observations, which the agency said "are based on limited data in only a few
countries":
A NEW VIRUS TO WHICH PEOPLE HAVE LOW OR NO IMMUNITY
The H1N1 virus strain causing the current outbreaks
is a new virus that has not been seen previously in either humans or animals.
Although firm conclusions cannot be reached at present, scientists anticipate
that pre-existing immunity to the virus will be low or non-existent, or largely
confined to older population groups.
SECONDARY ATTACK RATE RANGES FROM 22 TO 23 PERCENT
H1N1 appears to be more contagious than seasonal
influenza. The secondary attack rate of seasonal influenza ranges from 5 to 15
percent. Current estimates of the secondary attack rate of H1N1 range from 22 to
33 percent.
PEOPLE WITH UNDERLYING CONDITIONS MORE THREATENED
In terms of population vulnerability, the tendency of
the H1N1 virus to cause more severe and lethal infections in people with
underlying conditions is of particular concern. Outside Mexico, nearly all cases
of illness, and all deaths, have been detected in people with underlying chronic
conditions.
A YOUNGER AGE GROUP HAS BEEN AFFECTED
In the two largest and best documented outbreaks to
date, in Mexico and the United States of America, a younger age group has been
affected than seen during seasonal epidemics of influenza. Though cases have
been confirmed in all age groups, from infants to the elderly, the youth of
patients with severe or lethal infections is a striking feature of these early
outbreaks.
SEVERITY OF DISEASE COULD CHANGE
Apart from the intrinsic mutability of influenza
viruses, other factors could alter the severity of current disease patterns,
though in completely unknowable ways, if the virus continues to spread.
Scientists are concerned about possible changes that
could take place as the virus spreads to the southern hemisphere and encounters
currently circulating human viruses as the normal influenza season in that
hemisphere begins.