China's CPI down 1.5% in April; third fall in a row
www.chinaview.cn 2009-05-11 10:23:27   Print
¡¤CPI fell 1.5 percent year on year in April, It was third decline in a row since February.
¡¤Food prices, which comprise one-third of the CPI, dropped 1.3 percent.
¡¤The index was down 0.2 percent from a month earlier.

    BEIJING, May 11 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI), the main gauge of inflation, fell 1.5 percent year on year in April, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Monday.

    It was the third decline in a row since February, when the CPI dropped 1.6 percent, which in turn was the first fall since October 2002.

    The result was in line with market expectations and analyst forecasts. 

People queue at a supermarket in Qingdao, east China's Shandong Province April 16, 2009. (Xinhua/Li Ziheng)
Photo Gallery>>>

    Food prices, which comprise one-third of the CPI, dropped 1.3 percent, dragged down by a 28.6-percent decline in pork prices as demand plummeted amid a global flu outbreak thought to be connected with pigs.

    Non-food prices fell 1.5 percent.

    The index was down 0.2 percent from a month earlier, and the figure for January-April fell 0.8 percent from the same period last year.

    Lian Ping, chief economist with the Bank of Communications, said the weakening reflected the high base of comparison, since the CPI soared by 8.5 percent last April. The consecutive declines did not presage deflation, and the figure was expected to rise starting at mid-year.

    China's producer price index (PPI), a major measure of inflation at the wholesale level, fell 6.6 percent in April, the fourth monthly decline in a row.

    Li Huiyong, analyst with the Shenyin & Wanguo Securities said falling iron and steel prices pushed the PPI down.

    However, Lian said the figure was expected to rise from May forward, at least in month-on-month terms, as global commodity prices had begun rising again amid signs of economic recovery.

    Last month, domestic prices of copper, aluminum and zinc rose by 10 percent to 20 percent on average. Oil product prices also edged up.

    The consecutive falls in the CPI and PPI aroused concerns about deflation in the world's third-largest economy. But analysts said that given the inflationary nature of the government stimulus package and the massive expansion of bank credit in the first quarter, deflation was unlikely.

    The country pumped 4.58 trillion yuan (670 billion U.S. dollars) of new loans into the economy in the first quarter to stimulate growth.

    Lending in the early months of 2009 has already neared the 5 trillion yuan of new loans targeted for the whole year. In March alone, new loans increased by a record 1.89 trillion yuan.

    The People's Bank of China (PBOC, the central bank) said in its quarterly monetary policy report on May 5 that China would stick to its moderately easy monetary policy and ensure "ample" liquidity at banks.

    The State Information Center, a government think tank, predicted in a report released on May 4 that the CPI would drop 1.3 percent in the second quarter.

    One hundred economists polled by the China Economic Monitoring & Analysis Center under the NBS at the end of March expected the figure for the whole year would range between 0 to 0.2 percent.

    Deflation was unlikely, the survey found, considering the ample bank liquidity and the moderating inflation comparison base in the latter half of 2008.

    Premier Wen Jiabao told the annual national legislative meeting in the early March that the inflation target for this year would be about 4 percent.

    Xu lianzhong, official with the National Development and Reform Commission, the top planning agency, told Xinhua that the CPI would likely bottom out in the second quarter, so the possibility of further interest rate cuts could not be ruled out.

China PPI down 6.6% in April year on year

    BEIJING, May 11 (Xinhua) -- China's producer price index (PPI), a major measure of inflation at the wholesale level, fell 6.6 percent in April year on year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday.  Full story

Power generation in China likely to drop further in April

    BEIJING, May 5 (Xinhua) -- China's power generation is likely to have fallen 4 percent year on year in April, indicating an economic recovery is still some way off, Tuesday's China Daily reported.

    The estimated figure would signal a larger decline than that in March, when power output fell 0.7 percent to 286.7 billion KWh, Xue Jing, director of the statistics and information department under the China Electricity Council told the paper.  Full story

China's PMI of manufacturing sector rises for 5th straight month

    BEIJING, May 1 (Xinhua) -- The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)of China's manufacturing sector rose for a fifth straight month in April to 53.5, up 1.1 points from a month earlier, the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP) said Friday.

    It was the second consecutive month the PMI rebounded above 50 since July 2008, when the index fell to 48.4 percent.

    A reading of above 50 suggests expansion, while one below 50 indicates contraction.  Full story

China's energy intensity down 2.9% in Q1: statistics office

    BEIJING, April 29 (Xinhua) -- China's energy intensity dropped 2.89 percent in the first quarter, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported Tuesday.

    The decrease compared with 2.62 percent a year earlier. Full story

Profits of China's central SOEs decline in Q1, but more slowly

    BEIJING, April 25 (Xinhua) -- Profits of companies controlled by China's central government continued to fall in the first quarter but at a slower pace, as the stimulus package showed positive effects on their performance, the State-owned enterprise (SOE) watchdog said Friday.

    The 138 SOEs directly controlled by the central government, generated a profit of 119.49 billion yuan (17.57 billion U.S. dollars) through January-March, down 41.8 percent year on year. The decline was 11.1 percentage points slower than the January-February figure, according to the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC).  Full story

Special Report: Global Financial Crisis

Editor: Sun
Related Stories
NBS: China CPI growth continues to fall
Beijing- China CPI growth continues to fall, NBS
NBS chief: China's economy in good shape
Home China
  Back to Top