by Paul Ames
BRUSSELS, May 8 (Xinhua) -- Recent exchanges between
the Kremlin and NATO headquarters in Brussels have been marked by dueling
espionage allegations, diplomats expelled, war games denounced and high-level
talks canceled in anger.
The bombast has resembled the bad old Cold War days
rather than the thaw expected after the Obama administration announced it wanted
to "press the reset button" on Russian's strained relations with the West.
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A Georgian (R) and Turkish serviceman
interact during joint NATO training activities, 30 km (18.6 miles) outside
Tbilisi, at the Vaziani military base May 6, 2009. NATO began military
exercises in Georgia on Wednesday in a move Russia said threatened
stability in the region just nine months after a war between the former
Soviet neighbours.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo
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However,
despite the tense rhetoric, a new modus vivendi may be emerging between Moscow
and the Western alliance.
"We have an excellent opportunity to reset the
relationship between the United States and Russia on a whole host of issues,"
U.S. President Barack Obama told Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in
Washington on Thursday.
Those issues, Obama said, include the proliferation
of nuclear weapons, Afghanistan, the Middle East and the world economy.
Differences, however, run deep over the future of
Ukraine, Georgia and other former Soviet republics which Moscow wants to prevent
from joining the Western alliance. Many in the pro-Western camp in those nations
fear a new U.S. rapprochement with Russia could leave them out in the cold.
Russian opinion has been inflamed by the NATO
military exercises in Georgia involving more than 1,000 troops from 18 countries
that started Wednesday.
In reality, the maneuvers represent a consolation
prize to Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili and his pro-Western supporters
whose aspirations of securing membership in the military alliance have all but
evaporated following their military defeat at Russian hands last August.
Although official NATO policy still says Georgia and
Ukraine will become members of the alliance, NATO expansion has been on the back
burner since France and Germany -- under pressure from Russia -- postponed
indefinitely the launch of a pre-membership program for the Black Sea nations at
a summit last year in Bucharest.
Any lingering hopes have been dashed by European
concern over the eternal political crisis in Ukraine and instability in Georgia
since Russian-backed separatists in the South Ossetia and Abkhazia regions broke
away following the August war.
All of this is good news for a Russian leadership
that views the desire of neighboring states to seek closer ties to the West as a
threat to its national security.
Although NATO initially curbed ties with Russia in
response to the war in Georgia and Moscow's unilateral recognition of the
breakaway regions, the alliance has been keen to avoid a permanent rift and had
recently agreed to resume normal business under the NATO-Russia Council.
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Chairman of the NATO Military Committee
Admiral Giampaolo Di Paola is seen at the start of a NATO Chiefs of
Defence meeting at the Alliance headquarters in Brussels May 6,
2009.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo
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Those
plans were hit by the expulsion last week of two Russian diplomats accused of
spying at NATO headquarters and the tit-for-tat ejection of two Canadians
working at the NATO information office in Moscow.
The angry words from both sides over the espionage
episode, combined with Russian bluster about the NATO war games in Georgia, cast
a shadow over hopes of an Obama-inspired warming of relations.
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev blasted the Georgia
maneuvers as a "genuine provocation" and warned of "negative consequences" for
those behind them. Lavrov pulled out of his first meeting with NATO counterparts
since the August conflict, denouncing the alliance's "confrontational logic of
the Cold War."
NATO diplomats acknowledge that Georgia will be a
long-term bugbear in relations with Russia but they also suggest there is a
growing willingness within the alliance to seek a new understanding with Moscow
despite its continued hostility toward the government in Tbilisi.
Obama's decision to take a fresh look at the Bush
administration's plans to install anti-missile defenses in Poland and the Czech
Republic could remove one major Russian concern.
Washington's offer of talks on a new strategic arms
reduction treaty has been welcomed by the Kremlin, which appreciates such
reminders of its nuclear superpower status.
The United States also is wooing Russia for support
in its efforts to curb the nuclear ambitions of Iran and the Democratic People's
Republic of Korea, and wants Moscow to support the fight against the Taliban by
opening new supply routes to troops in Afghanistan.
Such global issues, Lavrov suggested to U.S.
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton this week, were worth more to the West than
any concern over little Georgia.
"The task of further reductions of strategic
offensive weapons is too important for both Russia and for (the) U.S. and, for
the entire world in fact, to make it hostage of any particular regime," he said
at a news conference, in an apparent reference to the Saakashvili regime.
Characteristically Moscow's envoy to NATO put it more
bluntly.
"Is it a good idea to tease the Russian bear by
continuing to support regimes in Georgia and Ukraine only so they stand ready to
be used as a counterweight to Russia?" Ambassador Dmitry Rogozin wrote Wednesday
in the New York Times.
If it continues to do so, Rogozin warned, "NATO will
be the first to suffer, in terms of both the security and economic stability of
its member states."
Faced with such threats, Washington and its NATO
allies have to decide whether efforts to appease Russian concerns will simply
embolden hardliners in Moscow to seek additional concessions, or whether a more
conciliatory approach will persuade the Kremlin that NATO can be a partner
rather than a rival, even if it eventually revives plans to take on more members
in the East.
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Chairman of the NATO Military Committee
Admiral Giampaolo Di Paola delivers a speech at the start of a NATO Chiefs
of Defence meeting at the Alliance headquarters in Brussels May 6,
2009.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo
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