Special Report: Global Financial Crisis
BERLIN, April 23 (Xinhua) -- German economy will
shrink by 6 percent this year and 0.5 percent next year, facing the worst
recession since World War II, a report of a group of top economic institutes
said on Thursday.
As a result of the economic downturn, the German
unemployment will increase 1 million this year to exceed 4 million, and continue
to rise to 4.7 million, or 10.8 percent, in 2010, the report said.
The budget deficit of German government will jump to
3.7 percent of the gross domestic product this year and to 5.5 percent in 2010,
fueled by government stimulus package and falling tax revenue, the report said.
"On the basis of leading indicators, the institutes
expect that the downward trend will continue and we do not believe there will be
a stabilization before the middle of 2010," the report said.
"The economy is being dragged down by a global and
extraordinary dramatic downturn," said Economy Minister Karl-Theodor zu
Guttenberg. "The figures presented by the institutes present an extremely clear
picture."
German government will release its own prediction of
the economy on April 29, which is certain to be lower than its previous
projection of minus 2.25 percent for 2009, local media said.
German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck said
Wednesday that the economy was set to shrink by at least 5 percent this year.
The institutes include Ifo institute in Munich, IfW
in Kiel, RWI in Essen and IWH in Halle.
