Economists: U.S. "has to clean up dollar mess"
www.chinaview.cn 2009-03-26 08:16:00   Print

Special Report: Global Financial Crisis

    BEIJING, March 26 -- U.S. President Barack Obama may have dismissed the need to replace the greenback with a global currency, but economists said yesterday that he should take more steps to restore confidence in the dollar, especially in the near term.

    Obama said at a White House press conference on Tuesday evening (yesterday morning, Beijing time) that confidence in the U.S. economy and the dollar was "extraordinarily strong", and that he did not believe there was a need for a global currency.

U.S. President Barack Obama speaks during a prime time news conference in the East Room of the White House in Washington, March 24, 2009.

U.S. President Barack Obama delivers a speech during his second prime time news conference at the White House in Washington, March 24, 2009. (Xinhua/Zhang Yan)
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    Obama's comments came after China's central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan wrote in an article that it was necessary to create a "super-sovereign reserve currency" to overhaul the existing international monetary system of using the currency of one nation as the global reserve currency.

    Zhou suggested that the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), a currency basket comprising the dollar, the euro, the pound and the yen, had the potential to serve as a super-sovereign reserve currency. The SDRs have been used as a unit of account among IMF members and other international organizations since introduction in 1969.

    Even before Zhou's remarks, a UN panel of financial experts had suggested that the world ditch the dollar in favor of a shared basket of currencies, Reuters reported. That was followed by Russia saying it would pitch for a new reserve currency at the G20 summit to be held in London on April 2.

    "Despite all the talk of 'confidence', investors are still deeply concerned about their holdings of the U.S. dollar and Treasuries, not only in China, but around the world," said Erh-Cheng Hwa, chief economist of the Bank of Communications and a former IMF economist. "Zhou's proposal, along with others', could add more pressure on the U.S. government to take real responsibility to clear up the mess it has created."

    Fan Gang, a renowned economist and member of the central bank's monetary policy committee, said China has long suffered under the dollar reserve system and that one of the problems is some of the international money has been used without discipline.

    "Naturally, in countries like China, we think about changes and the way out," Fan said Wednesday in discussions with economists at an investment forum in Hong Kong.

    He called for a globalized reserve currency system in a globalized world, or "a truly international or global currency managed globally and independent of, and delinked from, any country to prevent moral hazard."

    Competitions should be encouraged among the different reserve currency systems so as to create a discipline on the countries printing the reserve currencies, he said.

    Fan's call echoed voices by Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz.

    Stiglitz said the U.S. dollar is not ideal as a reserve currency. It is not stable and had earlier prompted some of the economies to increase their foreign reserves, ultimately leading to the unsustainable lending by poorer countries to richer ones.

    Stiglitz called for an alternative global reserve system by coordinating the existing efforts for regional reserve currencies or money swap agreements.

    The U.S. currency and Treasuries dominate the holdings of central bank reserves around the world. It is estimated that 70 percent of China's $1.95 trillion in foreign exchange reserves is invested in U.S. dollar-denominated assets; and a depreciation of the greenback would hurt the central bank's balance sheet.

    The U.S. has run up budget and external deficits over the years to fuel its consumption spree, thanks to the dollar's status as the reserve currency. But this has also weakened the currency during the process.

    Some analysts estimate that the Obama administration's massive bailout plan, with an even higher budget deficit, is likely to further weaken the dollar and give rise to global inflation.

    Hwa said the proposals by Zhou and others could help bring about a perfect storm that would reshape the international monetary system in the long run. But it could take years to persuade private companies to use SDRs for international trade and commodity pricing; and opposition from the U.S. is a major obstacle.

    "The existing international monetary system is out-of-date," said Wang Jianye, chief economist of the Export-Import Bank of China and former IMF economist. "It does not reflect the profound changes in the world econom and hence is no longer workable."

    Wang said the essence of Zhou's article was to "find appropriate mechanisms" to ensure that the U.S. takes into account the global effect of its monetary policy in the short term and help move toward a new global monetary system conducive to sustainable growth in the long run.

    (China Daily and Xinhua)

Zhou Xiaochuan: Reform the International Monetary System (Full Text)

    BEIJING, March 26 -- The following is an article written by Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of China's central bank, on international monetary system. Full story

Economists call for diversified, competitive global reserve system

    HONG KONG, March 25 (Xinhua) -- The current global financial crisis exposed the weakness of the current U.S. dollar-standard global reserve system, and an alternative global reserve system should be more diversified and competitive, economists said on Wednesday.

    Fan Gang, a renowned economist and member of the central bank's monetary policy committee, said China has long suffered under the dollar reserve system and that one of the problems is some of the international money has been used without discipline. Full story

China central bank governor suggests creating super-sovereign reserve currency

    BEIJING, March 24 (Xinhua) -- Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of China's central bank, has proposed to create a super-sovereign reserve currency as part of reform in the international monetary system.

    The desirable goal of the international monetary system is to "create an international reserve currency that is disconnected from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run, thus removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies," he said. Full story

Obama sees signs of progress toward recovery, appeals for patience

    WASHINGTON, March 24 (Xinhua) -- Seeking to rally more support for his efforts to tackle the crisis, U.S. President Barack Obama assured Americans on Tuesday that there were "signs of progress" toward recovery, while pleaded for more time and patience.

U.S. President Barack Obama delivers a speech during his second prime time news conference at the White House in Washington, March 24, 2009. (Xinhua/Zhang 
      
 Yan)

U.S. President Barack Obama delivers a speech during his second prime time news conference at the White House in Washington, March 24, 2009. (Xinhua/Zhang Yan)
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    "We will recover from this recession," Obama said at a prime-time news conference, the second he has held since taking office in January. "But it will take time, it will take patience."  Full story

Editor: Zhang Xiang
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