Special Report: Iran Nuclear Crisis
WASHINGTON, March 24 (Xinhua) -- U.S. President
Barack Obama delivered a message to Iran by videotape last week on Nowruz, the
traditional Iranian new year, offering a "new beginning" with Tehran.
That demonstration by the new U.S. president to
"extend an olive branch" to the Islamic Republic has sparked controversy.
BARGAINING MAYBE UNDERWAY
Ted Galen Carpenter, vice president for defense and
foreign policy studies at the Cato Institute, a Washington-based think tank,
told Xinhua that Obama's latest appeal to Iran "represents a significant shift
in U.S. policy."
"It recognizes Iran's significant power in that part
of the world. His statement included a very important comment about mutual
respect. In other words, the United States is no longer committed to
overthrowing the Iranian government. That's a very important point," Carpenter
said.
Referring to Tehran's demand for "real changes" from
the United States, Carpenter said Iran was not rejecting Obama's gesture.
"What Tehran seems to be doing now is adopting a
cautious response. I think it's the initial stage of bargaining.
"What they (Iranians) want to find out is whether
there is a true change in the substance of U.S. policy, and not just the tone,"
Carpenter said.
He said Tehran was almost inviting the United States
to provide more details as to what kind of change will take place.
"I think bargaining maybe underway now," Carpenter
said.
Ali Akbar Javanfekr, Iranian President Mahoud
Ahmadinejad's press advisor, said: "If Obama takes concrete actions and makes
fundamental changes in U.S. foreign policy toward other nations, including Iran,
the Iranian government and people won't turn their backs on him."
IMPLICIT CONCESSION
Carpenter believes the Obama administration is
offering a sort of concession to pave the way for dialogue with Iran. "We have
already seen implicit concession ... that is that we do recognize the legitimacy
of the Iranian government. And it is no longer our policy to seek the overthrow
of that government," he said.
Another change underway is that Washington has
brought Iran into international talks about policy on Afghanistan.
"Obama may also offer to lift some economic sanctions
against Iran if there is progress in the nuclear talks," Carpenter said.
He agreed with the opinion that it will be extremely
difficult to bargain with Iran on its nuclear program. However, an important
change could be lifting the demand that Iran stop uranium enrichment before
talks can get underway on the substance of the nuclear program.
"Obama at least needs to make negotiations more open
ended ... That would a very key issue," Carpenter said.
He attributed Obama's decision to continue sanctions
against Iran for another year to strong opposition within the United States for
lifting the embargo.
"There are powerful constituencies, particularly
pro-Israel constituencies in the Democratic Party. They would be very angry at
him if he lifted sanctions, particularly without any meaningful concessions from
Iran," Carpenter said.
CHANGE NOT EASY
Carpenter, who is cautiously optimistic about
possible progress in U.S.-Iran dialogue in the future, noted that it is
difficult for the United States and Iran to have talks without anything being
changed beforehand.
"But I think the U.S. as a stronger power, probably
will have to initiate concessions. I hope the Obama administration understands
that point, otherwise the talks will not likely go very far."
On the significance of Obama's suggestion to have
dialogue with Iran, Carpenter said that was part of the efforts "to improve
America's image in the entire region, to at least, greatly reduce the impression
that the United States is the enemy of Muslim populations."
That is not going to be all that easy, Carpenter
said, but "Obama is at least trying to take steps in that direction."