China's Feb. trade worst in decade as global downturn deepens
www.chinaview.cn 2009-03-11 11:45:32   Print

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China's exports figures plummeted 25.7 percent in February from a year earlier, the fourth straight monthly fall as global demand shrank, the General Administration of Customs said on Wednesday.

China's exports figures plummeted 25.7 percent in February from a year earlier, the fourth straight monthly fall as global demand shrank, the General Administration of Customs said on Wednesday.(Photo: News.cn)
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    by Xinhua writers Liu Jie and Chen Yongrong

    BEIJING, March 11 (Xinhua) -- China's exports plummeted 25.7 percent year-on-year in February, the worst decline in more than a decade, as global demand deteriorated amid the deepening recession, the General Administration of Customs said Wednesday.

    Exports contracted for the fourth month in a row to 64.90 billion U.S. dollars, while imports slumped 24.1 percent to 60.05 billion U.S. dollars.

    The surplus narrowed to 4.84 billion U.S. dollars, less than one-seventh of the figure for January.

    "Such a drastic fall in exports is rare, showing the severity of the impact of the global downturn, "said Zhuang Jian, senior economist with the Asian Development Bank.

    He said as the global downturn had not bottomed out, external demand would continue to weaken throughout the year.

    The grim statistics hit Chinese shares, which closed 0.91 percent lower Wednesday, halting an early rally.

    EYE-CATCHING SURPLUS DATA

    While China was "psychologically prepared" for the export slump, said Zuo Xiaolei, chief economist with Galaxy Securities, the narrowing of the trade surplus was eye-catching.

    "The slumping trade surplus, which is very bad for economic growth, tells us that we can't pin too much hope on trade to meet the eight percent growth target for this year," she said.

    Total foreign trade was 124.95 billion U.S. dollars last month, down 24.9 percent year-on-year.

    Processing trade, which comprised more than half of the total, declined much faster than general trade, the customs agency said.

    Imports would certainly fall, as exporters scaled back orders of raw material because of diminishing processing trade, said Tang Min, deputy secretary general of the China Development Research Foundation.

    COMMODITY TRADE HIT

    Commodities became the biggest victim in February exports, as global downturn sapped demand for raw materials, whose prices have nose-dived since last year.

    Exports of coal fell 41.6 percent to 5.11 million tonnes, while steel exports fell 52 percent to 3.47 million tonnes.

    The customs agency said exports of labor-intensive products contracted more moderately than total exports, reflecting the government's moves to raise export rebates starting last July.

    Garment and accessory exports fell 11 percent to 14.62 billion U.S. dollars, while those of toys sank 17.1 percent to 850 million U.S. dollars.

    Grain exports plunged 46.7 percent and fertilizer exports slumped 55 percent. The government curbed exports of these products to ensure supply after major wheat-planting areas experienced the worst drought in half a century.

    The customs agency said exports to the United States, European Union and Japan saw double-digit falls, but those declines were still less than the overall level.

    Lu Zhengwei, analyst with Industrial Bank Co., Ltd., said the sharp drop was probably due to deteriorating conditions in emerging economies.

    LOOKING FOR GROWTH

    After the 17.5 percent plunge in January, Tang said the export decline could have been expected to moderate in February, considering the low statistical base of comparison a year ago when the Lunar New Year fell two weeks later.

    "It underscores the imperative to look to domestic consumption and investment for growth," he said.

    Exports have long played a key part in powering the world's third-largest economy. China's gross domestic product growth slowed to 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter last year, the worst showing in seven years, as the global downturn sapped demand for Chinese goods.

    Also, the yuan has risen more than 20 percent since it was unpegged from the U.S. dollar in July 2005, which has weighed on exporters. Premier Wen Jiabao has vowed to keep the rate at an "appropriate and balanced" level.

    Commerce Minister Chen Deming said Tuesday that foreign trade faced a "grim picture" in the months ahead.

    And Wen said last Thursday in the government work report to the annual legislative meeting that China "must not slacken efforts" to promote its exports, despite the plunge in external demand and growing international protectionism.

    Wen pledged measures, including fiscal and tax policies, to ease the difficulties of exporters and "ensure steady growth in foreign trade."

    Zhuang said, however, there was little room to further raise export rebates, following several increases starting in 2008.

    "So we should look to domestic consumption, although that will take time," he said.


China's urban fixed asset investment up 26.5% in 1st 2 months 

    BEIJING, March 11 (Xinhua) -- China's urban fixed asset investment totaled 1.027 trillion yuan (150.35 billion U.S. dollars) in the first two months, up 26.5 percent year on year, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Wednesday.

    The growth rate in the primary industry (farming, fishing, forestry and the like) remained the highest among all industrial sectors, up by 100.3 percent. The secondary sector saw investment rise by 24.8 percent and the tertiary sector by 26.9 percent. Full story

China's producer price index down 4.5% in Feb.

    BEIJING, March 10 (Xinhua) -- China's producer price index (PPI) fell for the third straight month, dropping 4.5 percent year on year in February, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.

    The decline in the PPI, a major measure of inflation at the wholesale level, was 1.2 percentage points higher than the month-earlier level. Full story

China CPI falls to minus 1.6% in Feb., 1st negative growth in 6 yrs

    BEIJING, March 10 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, fell 1.6 percent year-on-year in February, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Tuesday.

    This was the first monthly fall since December 2002, when prices slid 0.4 percent. Full story

 China CPI falls to minus 1.6% in Feb.

China's CPI up 1% in Jan. 2009

 China's monthly CPI, PPI in 2008

Jan.

Feb.

March

April

May

June

CPI

 +7.1%

 +8.7%

 +8.3%

 +8.5%

 +7.7£¥

 +7.1%

PPI

 +6.1%

 +6.6%

 +8%

 +8.1%

 +8.2%

 +8.8%

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

CPI

 +6.3%

  +4.9%

  +4.6%

+4%

 +2.4%

 +1.2%

PPI

 +10%

 +10.1%

 +9.1%

  +6.6% 

  +2.0% 

-1.1%

China CPI up 5.9% in 2008



China's CPI sign of economic "recovery"

    BEIJING, Feb. 11 -- The consumer price index (CPI) in January rose only 1 percent year-on-year, the lowest in 30 months, and the other measure of inflation, the producer price index (PPI), dropped 3.3 percent.

    That prompted economists to say the economy may have bottomed out and could start growing again within a few months.Full story 

China's CPI up 1% in January

    BEIJING, Feb. 10 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI), a major gauge of inflation, rose by 1 percent in January over the same month last year, the National Bureau of Statistics announced Tuesday.

   The rise was 0.2 percentage points lower than the previous month. Full story

China CPI up 5.9% in 2008, Dec. inflation at 2-1/2 year low

    BEIJING, Jan. 22 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI), the main gauge of inflation, rose 5.9 percent last year after price pressures began to ease in May, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said here Thursday.

    The CPI was 1.1 percentage points higher than the level in 2007,which was also the official target for 2008. Full story

Editor: Lin Liyu
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