BEIJING, Feb. 17 -- The U.S.-Russian satellite
collision not only caused a disturbance to the outer space, but also helped to
arouse concern among space explorers about such accidents. The whole world has
been reflecting on the inefficiency of existing space surveillance systems and
has been calling for the introduction of new "space traffic regulations."
Different opinions and arguments
Editor: Why did the existing monitoring system fail
to prevent this collision?
Guan Kejiang (People's Daily U.S. correspondent): The
Pentagon admitted that the capabilities of US military's space surveillance are
limited. It cannot supervise the movement of all objects in space and had made
errors in calculations. Elizabeth Mailander, a spokesperson for US' Iridium
Satellite LLC, said that they did not receive any prior warning. In addition,
since the warnings they had previously received were not precise enough and
there were too many satellites changing direction in orbit, they failed to avoid
the threat.
Yu Hongjian (People's Daily Russia correspondent):
Russian space expert Igor Lisov explained that Russia's Kosmos-2251 satellite
has stopped functioning as early as 1995. In contrast, the US Iridium 33
satellite was in normal working condition and its operational orbit could be
controlled and adjusted. Lisov speculates that the US monitoring network was
only paying attention to smaller space debris and ignored the larger defunct
"dead satellites".
Li Yan (People's Daily France correspondent):
Philippe Goudy, deputy director of France's space center in Toulouse, thinks
that the cause might have been careless monitoring by US operators. They had
really underestimated the "destructive power" of flying debris in outer space.
Debris not to be ignored
Editor: This collision has brought new pressure to
outer space traffic which was already congested enough. At present, how much
space debris is there and how has it dispersed following the collision?
Guan Kejiang: General James Cartwright, the U.S. Vice
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said it will take a month or two for the
debris to settle down before they can effectively track it. NASA officials
believe that the debris will probably not pose a threat to the space shuttle
that is scheduled to be launched later this month.
Yu Hongjian: Major General Alexander Yakushin, chief
of staff for the Russian military's Space Forces, said that the debris may be
scattered over altitudes from 500 to 1,300 kilometers above the earth, traveling
at speeds of around 200 meters per second. Russian cosmonaut Fyodor Yurchikhin,
former commander of the International Space Station, thinks that the debris does
not pose any immediate threat to the International Space Station currently, but
after it is affected by gravity and changes orbit, it "will certainly threaten
the ISS".
Calls for information
sharing
Editor: With the increase of space
debris, although monitoring systems of relevant countries are running on full
power, debris monitoring and surveillance still require collaborative efforts
from the international community. What are the reactions of the various parties
involved?
Guan Kejiang: Cartwright has said that the satellite
collision accident demonstrates that all countries should improve the sharing of
space information. In the future, countries should better exchange satellite
orbit data with each other. US State Department spokesperson Rob McInturff said
that all countries with interests in outer space should mutually cooperate in
order to avoid similar accidents. Relevant parties in the US and Russia have
already made contact. During the investigation process, U.S. and Russian experts
may arrange further meetings.
Li Yan: On February 13, Mazlan Othman, director of
the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs, called upon member countries
and international organizations to fully implement the "IADC Space Debris
Mitigation Guidelines". He said the implementation of these guidelines will help
protecting the environment in outer space and that the guidelines were written
bearing in mind the interests of mankind. This organization will hold a seminar
in Austria in the near future, inviting scientists to put forward suggestions
for preventing space collisions.
Urgent need for improvements in
management
Editor: Strengthening space surveillance has become a
hot topic among various parties since the collision. What are experts' comments?
Pang Zhihao (researcher at the China Academy of Space
Technology): In outer space, except for geostationary orbits, whose orbital
slots are allocated to all countries and managed by the International
Telecommunication Union (ITU), spacecrafts and their space waste are barely
regulated. At most, they are separately monitored by individual countries whose
data are rarely shared.
Establishing a system for the promotion of space
safety is an important method of space traffic management. Yet few companies or
countries have invested the corresponding resources in this area. Currently,
participants from scientific and research institutions, multinational companies
to satellite observation stations have collected large amounts of necessary data
on space safety. However, the difficulty lies in how to integrate these various
types of resources and make them mutually compatible. In addition, copyrights
and commercial confidentiality must be taken into consideration. The basic
principle on enacting space traffic regulations is how to "avoid" space debris
and spacecrafts that are under "surveillance". Detailed study of the space
environment and space forecasts should have the highest priority in establishing
scientific space traffic regulations. There is still a long way to go before
international conventions regarding space traffic rules can be met. In general,
the monitoring and prevention of space debris requires a long-term cooperation
from the international community.
Du Heng (researcher at the Center for Space Science
and Applied Research under the Chinese Academy of Sciences): Seeing the increase
of spacecraft and space debris, people have been calling for the adoption of
space traffic management since the 1990s. The latest satellite collision will
definitely trigger a new round of concern and discussions. It is noteworthy that
over 90 percent of space objects are debris, while operational spacecrafts
account for less than 10 percent. We can only control these spacecrafts, yet
their movements are not as controllable as those of a car, which responds
quickly. Therefore, the concept of "traffic lights" must be abandoned. Current
discussions mainly focus on the technical level of space surveillance, while
"space traffic law" is still a very remote concept.
(Source: People's Daily Online)