Special Report: Global Financial Crisis
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Mario Neria, an employee of Republic Windows & Doors for eight years, stands outside the company's warehouse in Chicago, Illinois December 8, 2008. Invoking Main Street resentment of Wall Street's federal bailout, some 200 workers entered their third day of occupying a shuttered Chicago window and door factory on Sunday, demanding that Bank of America agree to pay them severance plus vacation pay. (Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo Gallery>>> |
by Hu Fang
WASHINGTON, Dec. 11 (Xinhua) -- Prospects for global
growth have been deteriorating while the United States, the world's largest
economy, has been in recession due to the worst financial crisis since the Great
Depression in the 1930s.
FINANCIAL CRISIS
DEEPENING
The ongoing financial crisis, initially referred to
as a "credit crunch" or "credit crisis," began in July last year, when investors
lost confidence in the value of securitized mortgages in the United States,
which resulted in a liquidity problem.
By September 2008 the crisis became prominently
visible with the failure, merger or conservatorship of several large U.S.
financial firms such as investment banks Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch, and
insurance giant American International Group.
The crisis evolved rapidly into a global disaster
resulting in a number of European bank failures, sharp declines in global stock
markets, and large reductions in the market value of equities and commodities
worldwide.
Since then nervous investors have fled from stocks,
corporate bonds and municipal bonds, run to the safety of the U.S. Treasury
bonds, and transferred vast capital resources into stronger currencies such as
the Japanese yen, the U.S. dollar and the Swissfranc.
Despite aggressive, unprecedented steps taken by
major central banks and governments to boost liquidity and stabilize markets,
banks and other lenders, for fear of more risks, have been reluctant to grant
loans to each other and to consumers and businesses as well.
With the crisis deepening, Alan Greenspan, former
chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, said in October 2008 that the financial
markets were engulfed in a "once-in-a-century credit tsunami."
Their recovery, which Greenspan predicted to be
"still many months in the future," depends on home prices stabilizing, he said.
FINANCIAL CRISIS SPILLS
OVER TO REAL ECONOMY
The financial crisis has not only crippled the
financial sector, but also seriously affected real economy with its spillovers.
In the United States, the epicenter of the crisis,
consumers and businesses have cut their spending and investment as banks stung
by great losses are keeping a tighter grip on the purse strings.
Moreover, fear of a long and deep recession makes
people reluctant to borrow and spend money.
Consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of
the U.S. overall economic activity, plunged by 3.7 percent in the third quarter,
the biggest drop since the second quarter of 1980 and the first decline since
late 1991.
U.S. businesses have also slashed their investment in
equipment and software by the largest margin since the first quarter of 2002.
Meanwhile, residential investment plummeted for the
11th quarter in a row, indicating that the worst housing slump in decades, which
started in late 2006, is far from reaching its end.
Exports of goods and services, a major driving force
for the U.S. economy in the past quarters, decelerated sharply in the third
quarter, indicating shrinking overseas demand caused by global financial crisis.
Americans are losing their jobs as the economy is
sinking. Employment has fallen by 1.9 million since December 2007, with
two-thirds of the losses occurred in the past three months. In November,
employers axed 533,000 jobs, the biggest cut since December 1974, pushing the
jobless rate to 6.7 percent, the highest in 15 years.
The employment market, considered critical for the
economic recovery, has been deteriorating at an alarmingly rapid rate, showed
statistics from the U.S. government.
Analysts feared that embattled by housing collapse,
mounting foreclosures and credit tightening, employers could resort to further
layoffs.
"Even with a substantial stimulus package,
unemployment is likely to peak close to 9 percent in early 2010," Augustine
Faucher at Moody's Economy.com predicted.