BEIJING, Nov. 24 -- The central and local authorities
have taken a raft of measures in an attempt to expand domestic housing demand
and boost the sluggish real estate market.
In the context of the aggravating international
financial tsunami, these measures are also expected to tap the enormous domestic
demand potential for a steady economic growth to help the country survive the
upcoming global economic cold.
The government has long held that a booming real
estate industry should help to solve and improve ordinary people's basic
accommodation conditions.
On Oct 30, the People's Bank of China, the country's
central bank, made a decision to lower the benchmark lending and depositing
interest rates for domestic financial bodies. It also decided to lower housing
transaction taxes and extend a preferential interest rate to ordinary
self-accommodating purchasers. Days later, the State department in charge of the
country's housing fund also announced its decision to raise conditional home
buyers' maximum loan amount to 1.2 million yuan in some regions.
All these moves demonstrate the authorities have made
solving ordinary people's housing problem a top priority.
They are by no means the only government plans to
rescue the staggering real estate sector faced with the hovering housing prices.
It has long been the central government's clear-cut
stance that it will build more subsidized low-priced and low-rental houses to
meet the basic accommodation needs for low-income residents.
At the same time, the housing problem of other
residents will be solved through the market mechanism.
A decline in the housing transaction taxes and a
preferential interest rate policy will not only reduce people's home buying
costs but will also help increase market supply. With the overwhelming purpose
to improve people's livelihood, what the central government most needs to do
next is to take more workable actions to curb speculation in the real estate
market to avoid an otherwise bulging bubble in the sector.
However, given that great changes that have happened
to the market in addition to the global financial crisis, whether the latest
policies targeting the real estate market will achieve their purpose remains to
be seen..
The changed market environment poses a severe
challenge to the government on how it can achieve a balanced development between
its efforts to solve people's self-accommodation housing demands and its efforts
to prevent a financial risk in the country's real estate industry.
It is indeed important to reactivate people's housing
demand as a means to bolster national economic growth.
But the change to the country's monetary and interest
rate policy alone are by no means a panacea. The government should take into
full consideration commercial banks' profits-pursuing nature as well as the
risks the latest policy might pose them.
In the efforts to expand consumer demands in pursuit
of a sustained, flourishing property sector, ignoring the profits of these banks
and their potential credit risks would certainly add to their financial risks
and even to the whole economy.
The US financial crisis, which originated from the
bursting of its property bubble, should give us lessons to learn.
There is no doubt the enormous consumption potential
in the country's real estate market is yet to be fully tapped. However, the
current prices, which are still beyond the capacity of the majority of would-be
buyers, have seriously depressed prospects for realizing the potential.
In its efforts to boost the sluggish real estate
industry, what the government should first do is to improve ordinary residents'
capability to enter the market.
Other than a preferential interest rate policy and
the lowering of the housing transaction taxes, we have not seen a substantive
step made by the government in this direction
With a large portion of ordinary people still kept
away from the real estate market, it could be too optimistic to expect the
government's aspirations to expand domestic demand come to fruition.
There is speculation in the market that in order to
coordinate the global efforts to tackle the economic crisis and further
stimulate domestic consumption, the central bank will further cut the benchmark
lending and depositing interest rates by 54 percentage points.
However, a decline in the interest rates alone is not
expected to produce a big effect on the country's dampened real estate market.
The current property market is still on a downturn
and the wait-and-watch attitude has been increasing among potential house
buyers. Such a situation will last over a long period.
People choose to enter the market based on their
judgment on whether the housing prices are at a reasonable level. And only a
preferential interest rate policy will not prod them to take a drastic action.
Under these circumstances, lowering the currently
hovering house prices seems to be the only way out for the country's struggling
developers and the entire sector.
(Source: China Daily)