By Xinhua writer Zhou Erjie
HONG KONG, Oct. 15 (Xinhua) -- Now even the most sanguine analysts are
admitting that the financial woes emanating from the United States have
snowballed to a full-scale economic turmoil across the globe.
However, Asian economies, especially those of the Association of Southeast
Asian Nations (ASEAN), are withstanding the crisis fairly better than many
others, say, their counterparts in Europe, where six more banks collapsed last
week and several other banks are in a precarious situation.
The less stronger blow hitting ASEAN economies this time is largely
attributed to their healthy foreign reserves and fiscal balances and the fact
that their banks had little significant exposure to foreign toxic assets that
had dragged down a number of banking giants in the United States and Europe.
Clearly, the ASEAN nations have learned a lesson over the years after the
devastating 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, and the caution borne of the disaster
is paying off now.
Economically, the financial crisis a decade ago has helped the ASEAN become
a more insulated and more integrated regional economy.
The crisis itself highlighted ASEAN economies' vulnerabilities and how some
of these had been exacerbated by the hothouse growth of the early 1990s. At the
top of the list were large current account deficits and overvalued and
overmanaged exchange rates practically pegged to the U.S. dollar. The domestic
reflection of this was very high levels of foreign and local investment often
funded by questionable bank loans.
Today the regional picture is quite different. It is a much more defensive
one focused on moderating external vulnerabilities even at the cost of slower
growth.
ASEAN economies today have abandoned the approach of freely floating
exchange rates, current account deficits and minimal foreign exchange reserves,
but rather continued foreign exchange management with greater foreign exchange
reserves and current account surpluses. The strong current account surpluses
that most ASEAN economies run now are also being translated into growing pools
of foreign exchange reserves.
"The ASEAN today is lean and fit, in part reflective of the significant
reforms undertaken over the decade since the 1997 financial crisis," said a
statement issued by the ASEAN Finance Ministers, who met in Dubai a week ago.
The statement went on to explain that "ASEAN Member States have
strengthened fiscal sustainability, deepened capital markets, enhanced financial
regulation and supervisory frameworks, reduced debt exposure and improved their
reserve positions." It fared well in boosting investors' confidence in a highly
volatile period in the stock markets.
Though ASEAN's economic fundamentals remain sound, the diverse,
trade-dependent region is by no means immune from the global financial shocks.
Trade, among other crisis-driven pressures, is an area of great exposure to
the global downturn. A dismal report on the U.S. job market raised the concerns
about weakening U.S. consumer demand for Asian exports. As many ASEAN economies
have a large export sector, their economic growth is expected to be slowing down
this year.
Finance ministers of the ASEAN member states and the three East Asian
nations -- South Korea, China and Japan -- agreed in Spain in May to set up a
fund to help provide emergency liquidity to financially-troubled nations from
next year, an effort in part to prevent a recurrence of the 1997 Asian financial
crisis.
It is high time to press ahead with such regional integration and
cooperation initiative to protect ASEAN economies from the fallout of the global
financial crisis. Act expeditiously and delay no more.