BEIJING, Oct. 14 (Xinhua) -- China will keep
reasonably robust economic growth despite the ongoing international economic
recession, according to Merrill Lynch analysts here on Tuesday.
"As part of the world economy, China certainly would
be affected by the current financial crisis," said Liu Erfei, the company's
managing director. "We expect the country's economy to slow down from its
(current) double-digit growth to an 8 or 9 percent (annual GDP) increase, still
relatively rapid."
He added while some countries including the United
States stumbled in the credit sector from over-leveraging themselves, China
didn't get itself involved in a similar problem.
The New York-based investment bank and brokerage
house attributed the country's stable economic performance to the governmental
control on its state capital.
"Domestic capital market has not been completely open
to the outside yet. This enables the country to avoid major international
financial risks," Liu said.
The country was spared much trouble as it didn't
invest in sub-prime related financial products, the failure of which had been
acknowledged as a prime cause for the present global financial woes.
Meanwhile, the company's research showed domestic
consumption would stand out as a major driver for the country's economic growth
at a time when exports and the property sector were affected by a shrinking
global market.
A developing pro-labour policy, as well as an
emerging major consumer force of people born after 1978, would help accelerate
the nation's consumption, according to Merrill Lynch market analyst Cui Wei.
"Our view on China's economy in the next five to 10
years is very optimistic," Liu added.