WASHINGTON, Oct. 9 (Xinhua) -- Volcanoes function in
a far more complex way than previously thought, making future eruptions even
harder to predict, a new research by a team of U.S. and British scientists into
volcanoes has found.
The findings by scientists at the University of East
Anglia in Britain and Penn State University and the University of Arkansas in
the United States will appear on the Oct. 10 issue of journal Science.
The main discovery is that rather than "ballooning"
at depth, as previously thought, the pressurized magma in fact recharges the
volcano repeatedly, causing episodic eruptions at the surface.
The research was conducted on the Caribbean island of
Montserrat, a British territory on which the Soufriere Hills Volcano has been
erupting since 1995.
Its eruption has caused widespread damage to the
island and its infrastructure, resulting in the displacement of so many people
that the island's population has reduced from 13,000 to only 4,500. In 1997,
avalanches of hot rocks, known as pyroclastic flows, destroyed the capital town
of Plymouth and the island's airport, claiming more than 20 lives.
The team measured the surface flux of lava through
detailed topographic surveys of the lava dome and deposits, as well as the
response of the ground surface around the volcano using GPS to assess the amount
of inflation or deflation in response to magma movement.
The scientists have developed a physical model to
reconcile these measurements and provide a picture of how magma moves from the
mid-crust to the surface.
"Our findings show volcanic eruptions to be even more
complex than we had originally believed and illustrate the urgent need for
further research into this and other volcanoes," said the authors.