China reports 6.3% rise in CPI in July
www.chinaview.cn 2008-08-12 10:17:17   Print

    BEIJING, Aug. 12 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI), a measure of inflation, was up 6.3 percent in July, the National Bureau of Statistics announced on Tuesday.

    The figure, compared with 7.1 percent in June and 7.7 percent in May, was broadly in line with most forecasts.

    "The continuous decline of the CPI is a positive sign as it shows the government's measures to ease inflationary pressures were effective," said Zhang Xiaojing, an analyst with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

    Zhang attributed the decline to falling food prices and shrinking demand due to the economic slowdown.

    Food prices, which account for more than a third of the CPI calculation, rose 14.4 percent in July, 2.9 percentage points lower than June and 6 percentage points lower than the growth for the first half.

    The price of meat increased 16 percent, while that of pork rose12.1 percent. Cooking oil went up 30.8 percent, vegetables up 8.4 percent, aquatic products up 18.3 percent and grains up 8.6 percent.

    In the first seven months of this year, the inflation indicator rose 7.7 percent from the same period last year: 7.4 percent for urban areas and 8.3 percent for the countryside.

    The PPI for industrial products was up 10 percent in July over the same period last year, the highest since 1996, the bureau said on Monday.

    The PPI rise would not immediately increase pressure on the CPI, said Zhang Liqun, a researcher with the State Council Development and Research Center.

    Xu Lianzhong, an analyst from the National Development and Reform Commission, predicted that the PPI rise in August would be moderate and the CPI was expected to continue to fall in coming months.

    However, some analysts believe the upside inflation risks remain strong, as producer price growth has been accelerating. Many businesses are believed to have squeezed profit margins in recent months, as the CPI has failed to reflect the surge in production costs.

    China's CPI figure was above 4 percent since June last year due to surging pork prices, reaching a 12-year-high of 8.7 percent in February.

    "Although China is faced with less inflationary pressure, we still need to remain cautious of price fluctuations and give priority to curbing price hikes and preventing inflation," said Xu.

    Xu said the government should raise subsidies for low-income families and personal income tax thresholds, and remove taxes on bank savings interest in order to stimulate domestic demand.

    Sherman Chan, an analyst with Moody's Investors Service, said higher production efficiency could reduce business costs and slow inflation. The government could consider improving infrastructure and facilitating technology development, both of which would boost productivity without creating inflationary pressures. "There are policy options that can kill two birds with one stone."

    Zhang said China's annual CPI growth target of 4.8 percent would be missed this year. However, given the downward adjustments, the average CPI rise in the fourth quarter could reasonably be expected to reach the desired rate.

China's PPI rises 10% in July

    BEIJING, Aug. 11 (Xinhua) -- The producer price index (PPI) for China's industrial products rose 10.0 percent year on year in July, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday.

    The double-digit growth of PPI, which measures the value of finished products when they leave the factory, was the highest since 1996.  Full story

China's trade surplus down 9.6% in Jan.-July period

    BEIJING, Aug. 11 (Xinhua) -- China's trade surplus fell to 123.72 billion U.S. dollars in the first seven months of this year, down 9.6 percent year on year, the General Administration of Customs said on Monday.  Full story

China's GDP up 10.4 percent in first half year

    BEIJING, July 17 (Xinhua) -- The Chinese economy is in a dilemma, struggling for a delicate balance between maintaining a healthy growth and taming inflation. The major economic indicators released Thursday dampened expectations for a shift in the nation's macro control polices, but some, manufacturers in particular, still call for a fine tuning.

    China's gross domestic product (GDP) grew 10.4 percent to 13.06trillion yuan (1.9 trillion U.S. dollars) in the first half over the same period last year, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)said on Thursday. Full story

China's CPI rises 7.9 percent in first half of 2008

    BEIJING, July 17 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI),the main gauge of inflation, rose 7.9 percent in the first half over the same period last year, 0.2 percentage points lower than the first five months, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

    The figure, compared with 7.1 percent in June, 7.7 percent in May, 8.5 percent in April and a 12-year-high of 8.7 percent in February, was broadly in line with most forecasts. Full story

Editor: Yao
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