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Crude futures soared above 127 U.S.
dollars a barrel for the first time on Friday after investment bank
Goldman Sachs raised its oil price forecast. (Xinhua/Reuters
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NEW YORK, May 16 (Xinhua) -- Crude futures soared above 127 U.S. dollars a
barrel for the first time on Friday after investment bank Goldman Sachs raised
its oil price forecast.
Light, sweet crude futures for June delivery rose
2.17 dollars to close at 126.29 dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange, after setting a all-time peak of 127.82 dollars a barrel since trading
began in 1983. Oil prices have doubled in the past year.
In London, Brent crude futures for June delivery
settled at 124.99 dollars a barrel, trading up 3.74 dollars.
Goldman Sachs, the most active investment bank in the
energy markets, raised its average oil price forecast for the second half of
this year to 141 dollars from 107 dollars a barrel on Friday.
"To balance trend global GDP growth of 3.8 percent
against trend supply growth of 1.0 percent, prices need to rise on average14
percent from here in the second half of 2008," the bank said in a report, adding
that "resource protectionism" by many oil producing countries was curbing supply
growth.
Goldman also raised its average price projection for
2009 to 148 dollars a barrel.
Goldman Sachs analyst Arjun N. Murti wrote in a
report on May 6that supply shortage will send oil prices to between 150 to 200
dollars a barrel within next six months to two years. A price advance in oil
futures, which gained 8.3 percent within one week, came one day after this
prediction.
He also wrote an article of "super spike" back in
March 2005, predicting that crude may trade between 50 dollars to 105 dollars a
barrel through 2009.
As oil prices surging on falling dollar, analysts
believe that nobody wants to bet against Goldman.
Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter and
the most influential member of the OPEC, has agreed to increase its oil
production in order to meet customers' demand.
"On May 10 we increased our response to our customers
by 300,000 barrels because they asked for it," Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi
said at a press conference in Riyadh on Friday. "So our production for June will
be 9.45 million barrels per day. This is the request of about 50 customers
worldwide."
The announcement was made after a meeting between
visiting U.S. President George W. Bush and Saudi King Abdullah. It is the second
time in four months that Bush has visited this oil-rich country.
Bush was satisfied "because our response is
positive," al-Naimi said. Bush asked Saudi Arabia to lift oil production to ease
rising oil prices in January, but was rebuffed.
OPEC cut its 2008 global oil demand forecast for a
second time in three months on Thursday. Turmoil in global financial markets is
to blame for record oil prices, rather than a shortage of supply, it said.