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Gas prices climb over four dollars a
gallon at a gas station in Miami Beach, Florida April 23, 2008.
(Xinhua/Reuters File Photo) Photo
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NEW YORK, May 9 (Xinhua) -- Crude futures continued
its price rally and closed at an all-time high near 126 U.S. dollars a barrel
Friday.
Light, sweet crude for June delivery hit 126.25
dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) before it settled
at 125.96 dollars, trading up 2.27 dollars. In London, Brent crude futures for
June delivery rose 2.56 dollars to settle at 125.40 dollars a barrel.
Crude
rally
"Oil continued its spectacular rise today as it
climbed over 126 dollars per barrel," said Wall Street Strategies' senior
research analyst Conley Turner. "This latest move is being spurredon by a number
of factors including emerging concerns that there may be a possible
confrontation between the United States and Venezuela."
A report published by the Wall Street Journal Friday
suggested closer ties between Venezuelan President Hugo Chaves and the rebels
trying to overthrow Colombia's government.
"Any such confrontation will invariably cut exports
from this important member of Organization of Petroleum Exportation Countries in
an environment where supplies are already constrained," Turner pointed out.
"In addition, the decline in the value of the U.S.
dollar against the euro and other foreign currencies is serving as a reason for
the price of the commodity rising," he added.
The U.S. Dollar Index, a weighted measure against the
euro, yen,pound and other major currencies, is down 11 percent in the past year.
On Thursday, European Central Bank's decision to
leave euro interest rates unchanged sent oil price breaking 124 dollars a
barrel.
For the week, crude futures, which have more than
doubled within one year, rocket 8.3 percent on the NYMEX. The oil prices settled
at 61.55 dollars per barrel on May 9, 2007.
Going
higher?
The investment bank Goldman Sachs Monday predicted
that the supply shortage will send oil price up to 200 dollars within two years.
However, the OPEC, which produce more than one third
of world crude, denied shortage of oil supply and blamed the turmoil in equity
market and a weaker dollar for recent price hike. The organization is not
scheduled to meet until September.
Shokri Ghanem, Libya's senior oil official, who
predicted that oil price will break 125 dollars a barrel this week, suggested
Friday OPEC might increase its output if oil prices continued to rise. He also
supported an earlier OPEC meeting.
"The rising demand for oil from emerging economies
such as India and China is also serving as a supportive factor for the continued
rise in the price of oil," said Turner.
"The current price spike is however somewhat
worrisome in the near term and a severe pull back is a realistic possibility,"
Turner commented.
Any asset or class of assets experiencing such a
rapid rise in price will invariably see a move that resembles a reversal to the
mean, he said.
"Oil will continue to rise until it doesn't," Turner
said. "Nonetheless, in the long run, oil prices are going higher than
today."