WASHINGTON, Feb. 12 (Xinhua) -- The presidential nomination contests in Maryland, Virginia and Washington, DC Tuesday looks very likely to give Barack Obama an edge over opponent Hillary Clinton in the Democratic race.
However, the contests, collectively known as the
"Potomac Primary," will not be the coronation moment for the first-term black
senator.
Results of the races will give him an undisputed lead
among pledged delegates to the Democratic national convention in August.
Together his victories over the weekend, such a sweep
will also bestow unmistakable momentum heading toward next week's primary in
Wisconsin and caucuses in Hawaii.
After Tuesday's contests, Obama will very likely lead
Clinton in the number of delegates.
Currently, he and Clinton each have 1,121 and 1,148
delegates based on CNN's tally.
He leads Clinton in the number of pledged delegates
986 to 924,but trails her in the tally of super-delegates 135 to 224.
When the Potomac Primary is over, Obama will very
likely have an overall lead.
Even though, the Democratic race is still far from
ending since it needs at least 2,025 delegates to secure the party nomination
and neither of them is likely to reach that number in a short period.
Many experts said Obama may not be able to claim the
status of front-runner until Ohio and Texas primaries on March 4 or even the
Pennsylvania primary on April 22.
Clinton's recent losses mean she needs a circuit
breaker before March 4 -- perhaps the two debates scheduled the week before Ohio
and Texas offer that opportunity -- to change the dynamic of the race.
Super-delegates
Given the tight nature of the Democratic race, many
agree that it will largely be up to the 796 unelected super-delegates to decide
the nomination.
About half of the super-delegates are still
uncommitted.
Clinton now has an advantage among the
super-delegates.
However, her money problems and staff shake-up may
rattle some super-delegates who had assumed at the start of this campaign that
she had the superior fundraising capacity and a seasoned team that could weather
unexpected problems.
Republican consultant Mike Murphy said that if Obama
sweeps contests Tuesday and then wins Ohio, Texas or both, then "it'll be a
combination of true enthusiasm for Obama and the old pol's rule of 'be for what
is going to happen.'"
McCain's
gain
The undecided Democratic battle could benefit the
presumptive Republican nominee, Sen. John McCain.
Simply put, as Clinton and Obama continue at a
punishing pace, McCain can relax and recharge.
Moreover, McCain will be able to campaign solely
against the Democrats, beginning a general election argument long before Clinton
or Obama can.
The money he raises between now and the convention
can be put to that purpose as well.
He can start to unify the GOP -- not a moment too soon, in his case -- and begin to build a general-election field organization.
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