BEIJING, Jan. 30 (Xinhua) -- China's government
should continue taking measures to prevent "structural price rises" from
becoming "obvious inflation", said Wang Yiming, an expert from the National
Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), in an article published by Xinhua News
Agency.
Wang, vice president of the Macro Economy Research
Institute of the NDRC, described recent price hikes as within an "acceptable"
range compared with international levels, because it was less than five percent
and other countries had also seen big CPI rises last year.
Surges in prices of staples such as pork, cooking oil
and grain since May 2007 lifted the country's consumer price index (CPI) to 4.8
percent in 2007, well above the government's three-percent target set at the
beginning of last year.
In November when China saw a CPI rise of 6.9 percent,
the highest in 11 years, the CPI increase in Russia was 11.1 percent, Vietnam 10
percent, Indonesia 6.7 percent, India 5.5 percent, U.S.4.3 percent, Brazil 4.2
percent year on year, mainly pushed by energy, resources and foodstuff prices.
"Easing inflationary pressures needs a process and
price rises will continue for some time this year," Wang said.
The government should tighten price supervision of
daily necessities and provide assistance to low-income families to ride out the
price rises.
Wang also suggested that the government should
strengthen tracking and research of global prices of grain, energy and other
important products to facilitate the decision making in domestic macroeconomic
controls.
The NDRC, China's top economic planner, in mid
January announced price caps on a range of products, including grain, edible
oils, meat, milk, eggs and liquefied petroleum gas.
Food producers were required to get government
permission for any new price hikes. Last week, the government extended the order
to fertilizer prices in order to cushion the impact on farmers.
A recent clampdown had reduced liquefied petroleum
gas (LPG) retail prices by 19 percent in major Chinese cities.
The move was another effort taken by the government
after the temporary price freezes on gasoline, natural gas, electricity, water,
heating and urban public transport fees.
China's leaders made it clear at the annual central
economic conference in December that curbing economic overheating and inflation
was their highest economic priority in 2008.
"Taking effective measures to stabilize commodity
supply and regulate the market order is crucial for maintaining the country¡¯s
economic growth momentum and social stability," said Wang.
Wang pointed out food prices rose 12.3 percent in
2007 year on year, which contributed to 85.4 percent of the CPI rise, or 4.1
points on the CPI surge, while non-food price increases only accounted for 0.7
points of the 4.8 point CPI rise.
In particular, the average pork price nationwide
rocketed 48.3 percent in 2007 from a year earlier, driving up the CPI increase
by 1.5 points.
"The pork price was underestimated in 2006, which
resulted in a sharp decline in the number of pigs, especially sows. The
shortfall was aggravated by a pig cull after a serious outbreak of blue-ear
disease last year," said Xie Fuzhan, director of the National Bureau of
Statistics.
"The cause of rocketing prices is overheating and
excess liquidity," said Lin Songli, a macroeconomic analyst at Guangzhou-based
Guosen Securities.
China's central bank, the People's Bank of China,
used six interest rate hikes and 11 reserve requirement ratio increases since
last year to tighten monetary supply. On Jan. 25, the reserve requirement ratio
rose by half a percentage point to 15 percent, the highest in 24 years.
China's grain output exceeded 500 million tons in
2007, and the inventory of major farm products including wheat, rice and maize
is enough to meet domestic market demand, Wang said.
"More than 70 percent of industrial products and more
than 80 percent of consumer goods are oversupplied in the market. The price
hikes have been confined only to shortages of a few items," he added.
If the government could take effective measures to
cushion short-term price rise factors and increase supply, prices would
stabilize, he said.