by Yu Zhixiao
BEIJING, Jan. 11 (Xinhua) -- Dialog and negotiation
are better means to settle the Iranian nuclear issue, analysts say, as both
chief of UN nuclear watchdog and the U.S. president are visiting the Middle
East.
Director-General of the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) Mohamed ElBaradei arrived in Tehran on Friday for discussion on
Iran's nuclear programs.
This is his first visit to Iran in over one and a
half years, which coincides with U.S. President George W. Bush's nine-day
eye-catching visit to the volatile Mideast region.
Earlier this week, IAEA spokeswoman Melissa Fleming
said ElBaradei hoped his visit would help to find measures to improve and
accelerate the IAEA's supervision and inspection on the programs.
She also said cooperation between the IAEA and Iran
would help solve the Iranian nuclear issue.
Analysts say it is wise for the IAEA to stick to
dialog policy, and negotiation instead of conflict is the right way to solve the
nuclear issue.
"The IAEA insists it is too rash to conclude Iran has
a plan or ability to develop nuclear weapons, so it is irrational to impose
further sanctions against Iran at this stage," Yu Wanli, an associate professor
from School of International Studies of China's prestigious Peking University
told Xinhua.
Conflict and war are not a good way to solve the
Iranian nuclear issue both for Iran and the United States, Yu said. It is almost
impossible for the Bush administration, which has bogged down in Iraq, to launch
a war against Iran as it does not have enough political assets to do so, he
added.
However, U.S. President Bush apparently has a
different view on how to deal with the Iranian nuclear issue. Before kicking off
his Mideast visit, Bush said one reason for the trip is to warn countries in the
region that nuclear armed Iran will be a danger to the Mideast region.
During a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud
Olmert Wednesday, Bush said Iran still poses a threat to world peace despite his
country's National Intelligence Estimate report released in December saying Iran
halted its nuclear weapon program in 2003.
"Iran is a threat and Iran will be a threat if the
international community doesn't come together to prevent it from getting a
nuclear weapon," Bush said.
The United States has accused Iran of trying to
develop nuclear weapons under the cover of a civilian nuclear program, which
Iran has denied. Iran insists its nuclear program is for peaceful purpose only.
Iran has shown a backlash toward U.S. hardline
policies on the issue, which, observers say, proves conflict and sanctions
cannot find a way out.
Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammad-Ali
Hosseini said on Sunday that Iran considers Bush's Mideast trip as interference
in relations between the countries in the region. He said the trip would not
succeed in isolating Iran, adding regional countries were strengthening their
relations with Iran.
"Due to continuation of hostile U.S. policies against
Iran, Tehran has no program for normalizing ties with Washington and that is not
in our agenda," Hosseini said.
A Chinese scholar named Yang Hongxi said the United
States, by calling for tougher sanctions against Iran, is attempting to force
Iran to concede through a psychological war instead of a military war.
"The standoff between Iran and the United States on
the nuclear issue may continue, but conflict or war is unlikely to break out in
the near future," Yang, a researcher with the China Center for Contemporary
World Studies, said in his blog.
He said it is not absolutely impossible for both
sides to reach some kind of agreement on the nuclear issue if they make some
real concessions.
Many countries in the world, as well as UN Secretary
General Ban Ki-moon, insist dialog is the best way to solve the Iranian nuclear
standoff.
Russia has all along called for negotiation instead
of conflict to settle the standoff, saying Iran has the right to develop
civilian nuclear projects as many other countries do.
Russia sent two shipments of nuclear fuel to Iran's
ongoing Bushehr power plant at the end of 2007, and promised the fuel would be
under control and guarantee of the IAEA to ensure its civilian purpose.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu said
Thursday that "China considers dialog and consultation are best ways to solve
the Iranian nuclear issue."
Jiang called for stronger diplomatic efforts from the
international community to resume talks at an earlier date in seeking a
long-term, comprehensive and appropriate solution to the
issue.