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A voter emerges from the voting booth after filling out her ballot to be cast in the New Hampshire Primary, the first Presidential Primary in the nation in Berlin, New Hampshire Jan. 8, 2008.(Xinhua/Reuters Photo) Photo Gallery>>> |
LOS ANGELES, Jan. 10 (Xinhua) -- The primary in
California could be pivotal for the current U.S. presidential campaign, as there
are no clear front-runners so far in both parties and candidates pay more
attention to the state, political analysts said Thursday.
California's primary will be held on Feb. 5, dubbed
by some as "Super Duper Tuesday" because nearly two dozen states will hold
primaries or caucuses on the same day, more on a single day than in any previous
national campaign.
With the recent close results in New Hampshire and
Iowa leaving both races still up for grabs, candidates are increasingly focusing
on the upcoming events, with California remaining the biggest prize.
California has been traditionally seen as a nonfactor
in the presidential primaries because its primary was in June, long after the
party nominees had been virtually decided.
But even though several more states will have their
own primaries before Feb. 5, the rapid growth of voting by mail in California
means voters here have already begun making their decisions before those other
contests are even decided, according to the Los Angeles newspaper Daily News.
A recent poll in California found that the race
tightening on the Democratic side, as New York Senator Hillary Clinton's former
lead of 25 percentage points over Senator Barack Obama now stands at a 36-22
margin.
However, Clinton's surprising New Hampshire victory
has re-established her as the Democratic candidate to beat in California, where
she has led in polls and fundraising, said Jaime Regalado, apolitical expert at
California State University, Los Angeles.
He said California is "one of the states deeply in
Hillary's pockets."
But Mark DiCamillo, director of the state's
independent public opinion survey service Field Poll, cautions that the
Democratic race in California might also be too close to call.
"Without any new California data, the best I can say
is (the race) is probably similar to national samples," said DiCamillo.
On the Republican side, former New York Mayor Rudolph
Giuliani was leading in California with 25 percent, but former Arkansas Governor
Mike Huckabee had made rapid gains to maintain second place with 17 percent.
And some said that Arizona Senator John McCain's New
Hampshire win makes him a big beneficiary in California, where his previous poor
showing in polls had strapped his campaign financially and kept him from setting
up a much-needed state operation.
Meanwhile, candidates from both parties have been
scrambling to beef up their grass-roots support in California, where past
candidates often visited early to raise funds from Hollywood and Silicon Valley,
but rarely paid attention to late in the campaign.