MANILA, Jan. 9 (Xinhua) -- Philippine exports as well as Filipino local and
overseas employment would be greatly dampened by a possible U.S. recession but
this would also be the best opportunity to lessen dependence on the world's
largest economy, experts said on Wednesday.
Signs of a looming U.S. recession became evident last year due to high oil
prices, thin volume in financial markets and the weakness of the dollar,
Philippine TV network ABS-CBN News reported, citing Leonor Briones, University
of the Philippines (UP) professor and former national treasurer of the
Philippines.
Briones said that the effects on the domestic economy would be immense
since the United States is the Philippines' largest trading partner.
Among others, she said local employment would be the most hit, with the
booming call center industry, which caters to the U.S. market, seen to implement
cost-cutting measures like office closure and job layoffs.
Abroad, the big number of nurses and caregivers will be reduced and those
working in the United States may not obtain security of tenure.
However, Briones said that a U.S. economic recession is the best reason for
the Philippines to shift resources to other nations like Japan, China and the
European Union members.
Meanwhile, another UP professor and former socio-economic planning chief
Felipe Medalla said he does not see a US recession coming.
"There is a slowdown in the U.S. growth but not totally a recession."
Medalla noted that this slowdown also impacts the country's exports, given
the fast appreciation of the peso.
But he said the amount of foreign debt that the country is paying would be
lessened.