BEIJING, Dec. 15 (Xinhua) -- A 5,158-meter-deep well
China drilled to get to know about the earth's crust could contribute to
forecast earthquakes, said scientists.
"Researchers will be able to record the movements of
liquid and gas which lies five kilometers underground. While drilling the well
they have found abnormal movements related to earthquakes," said Xu Zhiqin, the
chief scientist of the China Continental Scientific Drilling Engineering Center
and member of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.
The well is at Maobei Village of Donghai, a county in
the proximity of the port city of Lianyungang in northern Jiangsu Province, east
China. The drilling operation started in 2001 and was completed in 2005. The
exploration program cost a total of 166 million yuan (about 22 million US
dollars).
Maobei village was selected as an ideal location of
the well drilling as it is situated on the world's largest ultra-high-pressure
metamorphic belt, known as the "Dabie-Sulu Mountain fracture belt" and described
by geologists as "a natural research lab for the formation of plates and global
geological changes".
According to Wang Da, chief commander for the
continental scientific drilling program, an observation stand was built in the
well, with a diameter of 156 millimeters, to facilitate long-term studies on the
earth's in-depth secrets.
"We analyzed the gas data collected about 4,000 km
underground before and after the great Sumatra Earthquake happened on Dec.
26,2004. There were significant differences. It is possible that one day we
could predict an earthquake by observations on underground gas," said Xu.
The island of Sumatra is more than 4,000 km away from
Jiangsu Province.
Xu said workers had installed detectors in different
depths during the drilling operation, which could not only help forecast
earthquakes but facilitate life science studies by observing microorganism deep
down in the earth's crust.
Researchers would also be able to acquire data useful
for studies on continental plate boundaries and substances in the layer of the
earth between the crust and the core, she said.
The chief scientist said the continental scientific
drilling program had passed national examinations. A five-km-deep well free of
ground intruders is left for future research.
"We have set up the first long-term integrated
geophysics research base in Asia. I hope it could serve the human being." said
Xu.
Because of their devastating potential, there is
great interest in predicting the location and time of large earthquakes.
Although a great deal is known about where earthquakes are likely, there is
currently no reliable way to predict the days or months when an event will occur
in any specific location.
The Sumatra Earthquake, the greatest in 40 years,
killed about 300,000 people after triggering a large tsunami which spread
outward from off the Sumatran coast.
Earthquakes around the world killed about 1.2 million
people in the 20th century, including 590,000 in China. The biggest disaster in
the country is a 1976 quake that killed more than 242,000 in Tangshan, Hebei
Province.
Statistics show 35 percent of earthquakes measuring
seven and above on the Richter Scale in the world's continents occurred in China
in the last century.
China will build an earthquake-proof system to
correspond with the development of its cities, according to its 2006-2020
earthquake proof and relief plan.
Under the plan, the system will enable all areas in
China to basically have the capability to cope with earthquakes measuring around
six on the Richter Scale by 2020. Measures will also be taken to equip rural
areas with both earthquake-proof facilities and knowledge in relief procedures.
Currently in rural areas earthquakes usually cause
heavy economic loss and casualties due to a lack of earthquake-proof facilities
and relief knowledge.
According to the plan, publicity of earthquake-proof
and relief knowledge shall cover 40 percent of the population and 200,000
volunteers will be enrolled to work for earthquake-proof and relief efforts by
2010.
Material storage systems for disaster relief will be
built and earthquake victims will be ensured of basic living and medical
assistance within 24 hours of an earthquake.