BEIJING, Nov. 11 (Xinhua) -- A senior researcher with
the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) on Sunday said the latest reserve
requirement ratio hike has revealed that China's excess liquidity has risen
beyond the expectations of the central bank.
Peng Xingyun, of the CASS
Institute of Finance and Banking, told Xinhua that the People's Bank of China
(PBOC) had raised the ratio before releasing its financial figures for October,
indicating the bank's concern.
The PBOC announced on Saturday that it would raise
the reserve requirement ratio by half a percentage point for commercial banks.
The move, to take effect from Nov. 26, will push the ratio to a ten-year high of
13.5 percent.
"The PBOC raised the reserve requirement ratio before
it released October's money supply and other financial statistics next week, as
it is concerned about the excessive liquidity and credit increase," said Peng.
It is the ninth hike this year aimed at
"strengthening liquidity management in the banking system and checking excessive
credit growth", according to a statement posted on the PBOC's official website.
Peng said the PBOC could raise the interest rate once
again by the end of the year.
"It is hard to tell whether the PBOC will raise the
interest rate in a short span of time until the NBS makes public the CPI and
other indexes of October," said Peng.
PBOC figures showed that by the end of September, the
M2, which covers cash in circulation plus all deposits, grew by 18.5 percent
from a year ago to 39.3 trillion yuan (5.2 trillion U.S. dollars).
China's commercial banks lent out 3.36 trillion yuan
in the first nine months, surpassing the full-year figure of 3.18 trillion yuan
in 2006.
Earlier this week, a report compiled by the Institute
of Urban Finance under the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China said the
long-term influx of liquidity would quicken due to the continuous appreciation
of the yuan and high rate of investment return expectations in the country.
The influx of liquidity would also add pressure to
the overheated real estate and stock markets, warned the report.
The central bank also pointed out the country should
optimize the economic structure and continue to take a variety of trade and
industrial macro-control polices besides implementing a tighter monetary policy.
The country's consumer price index (CPI), a key
inflation indicator, rose by 4.1 percent in the first nine months over the same
period last year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
The CPI eased slightly to 6.2 percent in September
after surging to an 11-year monthly high of 6.5 percent in
August.