BEIJING, July 25 (Xinhuanet) -- Britain is an island
in the midst of an often stormy sea, but that fact doesn't explain the
relentless rains that have brought the nation's worst floods in a half century,
and some wonder if there is a link to global warming.
"We can't link any particular event
to climate change," said Jay Larimore, chief of the climate monitoring branch
for the U.S. National Climatic Data Center.
Jeffrey Yin, a meteorologist with the U.S. National
Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) explained changes and patterns have
to be studied for long periods of time before they can be connected to something
like global warming.
"I would want to see sort of a sustained pattern over
a longer period of time, at least 10 to 20 years," Yin told LiveScience. "The
issue with extreme kinds of events is that because they're rare, it's hard to
say statistically that there's been a shift or a change."
Long periods of rain like this are nothing new and
take place when certain air patterns persist and keep strong low-pressure
systems, associated with heavy rain, over an area for days or weeks on end,
Larimore explained.
But even though deluges will happen, global warming
will increase the likelihood of their happening by changing the environment,
said NCAR climatologist Kevin Trenberth.
"In particular, the water vapor in the atmosphere has
increased about 4 percent over the oceans since 1970 on average, and this leads
to heavier rainfall events by about double that amount," Trenberth said in an
email. "This is consistent with the kinds of things we expect from global
climate change warming."
Scientists predict that extreme weather events like
the floods in Britain will become more frequent in places all over the world --
China too has seen intense rains and flooding this summer.
(Agencies)