WASHINGTON, March 30 (Xinhua) -- A string of downbeat
economic reports, including evidence that companies are paring back investment
spending and signs that housing is taking another hit, have prompted economists
to reduce their forecasts for U.S. economic growth in the first half of 2007,
The Wall Street Journal reported Friday.
Since late last year, forecasters have warned that
economic growth in 2007 would be weaker than in 2006, due to a slump in housing
construction and reduced production by American auto makers, said the report.
As the housing and auto slumps have deepened while
business spending has started to wane, economists are taking another look at
their forecasts for the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure
of economic activity, the report said.
Earlier this month, said the report, the consensus
estimate of economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal said that GDP would
grow by about 2.3 percent in the first quarter, down from an estimate of 2.5
percent a month earlier. The forecast for the second quarter was unchanged at
2.4 percent.
One-tenth of a percentage point in GDP amounts to
about 13.5 billion U.S. dollars, according to the report.
"The housing recession is likely to be a little
deeper and much more prolonged than any of us have been thinking, and capital
spending will be considerably weaker," Nariman Behravesh, chief U.S. economist
at consulting firm Global Insight, was quoted as saying. The firm lowered its
forecast of first-quarter GDP growth to 1.6 percent from 2.2 percent.
Macroeconomic Advisers, an economic consulting firm
based in St Louis, lowered its forecast to 1.4 percent from 1.7 percent.
Economists at Morgan Stanley reduced their tracking of first-quarter GDP growth
to 1.4 percent from 1.6 percent; the firm's estimate had been as high as 2.2
percent in mid-March, the report said.
Last year, U.S. gross domestic product grew at an
inflation-adjusted 3.3 percent.