WASHINGTON, March 27 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. researchers
report that many of the world's current climates may disappear if current global
warming trends continue, while climates unlike any seen today would be created,
increasing the risk of extinctions and other ecological events.
John Williams, from the Department of Geography,
University of Wisconsin, Madison, and colleagues attempted to forecast the risk
of novel or disappearing climates by the year 2100, using global climate models
and greenhouse gas emission scenarios from the recent assessment by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC).
Their findings are being published Tuesday in this
week's edition of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
The researchers found that under both high and low
emissions scenarios, many regions would experience biome-scale changes. Biomes
are types of major ecological communities, such as rainforest, grassland, or
desert.
Tropical and subtropical regions may experience
previously unrecorded climates, with the greatest changes in Amazonian and
Indonesian rainforests. Areas like the southeastern United States and the
Arabian Peninsula may also be affected.
Tropical mountains and poleward regions, such as the
Peruvian and Colombian Andes, Siberia, and southern Australia, face a risk of
climates disappearing altogether.
In the high-end scenario, up to 39 percent and 48
percent of the planet's land surface could experience novel or disappearing
climates, respectively, while in the low-end scenario, the projections are up to
20 percent and 20 percent, respectively.
The regions facing climate disappearance have also
been recently identified as biodiversity hotspots, suggesting that standard
conservation solutions may fail to protect the fragile biodiversity in these
areas.