BEIJING, March 14 (Xinhuanet) -- Earth's not the only
planet in solar system that's heating up; so is Mars, Jupiter and Pluto.
And some scientists say global warming is the sun's fault, not man's.
Others argue such claims are
misleading and create the false impression rapid global warming is a
natural phenomenon, media reported Wednesday.
While evidence suggests fluctuations in solar
activity can affect climate on Earth, and has done so in the past, the
majority of climate scientists and astrophysicists agree the sun should not
be blamed for the current and historically sudden increase in global
temperatures.
Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of space research at
St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia, recently linked the
attenuation of ice caps on Mars to fluctuations in the sun's output.
Abdussamatov also blamed solar fluctuations for Earth's current global warming
trend. His initial comments were published online by National Geographic News.
"Man-made greenhouse warming has [made a] small
contribution [to] the warming on Earth in recent years, but [it] cannot compete
with the increase in solar irradiance," Abdussamatov told LiveScience in an
email interview last week. "The considerable heating and cooling on the Earth
and on Mars always will be practically parallel."
Abdussamatov's critics contend Mars'recent warmup is
more likely due to natural variations in the planet's orbit and tilt. On Earth,
these wobbles, known as Milankovitch cycles, are thought to contribute to the
onset and disappearance of ice ages.
"It's believed that what drives climate change on
Mars are orbital variations," said Jeffrey Plaut, a project scientist for NASA's
Mars Odyssey mission. "The Earth also goes through orbital variations similar to
that of Mars."
Charles Long, a climate physicist at Pacific
Northwest National Laboratories in Washington, says Abdussamatov's theory that
solar fluctuations are causing global warming is nonsense.
"That's nuts," Long said in a telephone interview.
"It doesn't make physical sense that that's the case."
Long's team published a study in 2005 in the journal
Science showing Earth experienced a period of "solar global dimming" from
1960 to 1990. During that timeframe solar radiation hitting our planet¡¯s
surface decreased. Then from the mid-1990s onward, the trend reversed and Earth
experienced a "solar brightening."
These changes were not likely caused by
fluctuations in the output of the sun, Long explained, but rather increases in
atmospheric clouds or aerosols that reflected solar radiation back into space.
Others have pointed out anomalous warming on other
worlds in our solar system.
Benny Peiser, a social anthropologist at Liverpool
John Moores University who monitors studies and news reports of asteroids,
global warming and other potentially apocalyptic topics, recently quoted in his
daily electronic newsletter the following from a blog called Strata-Sphere:
"Global warming on Neptune's moon Triton as well as
Jupiter and Pluto, and now Mars has some [scientists] scratching their heads
over what could possibly be in common with the warming of all these planets ...
Could there be something in common with all the planets in our solar system that
might cause them all to warm at the same time?"
In fact, scientists have alternative explanations for
the anomalous warming on each of these other planetary bodies.
The warming on Triton could be the result of an
extreme southern summer on the moon, a season that occurs every few hundred
years, as well as possible changes in the makeup of surface ice that caused it
to absorb more of the sun's heat.
Researchers credited Pluto's warming to possible
eruptive activity and a delayed thawing from its last close approach to the sun
in 1989.
And the recent storm activity on Jupiter is being
blamed on a recurring climatic cycle that churns up material from the gas
giant's interior and lofts it to the surface, where it is heated by the sun.
"The small measured changes in solar output and
variations from one decade to the next are only on the order of a fraction of a
percent, and if you do the calculations not even large enough to really provide
a detectable signal in the surface temperature record," said Penn State
meteorologist Michael Mann.
The link between solar activity and global warming is
just another scapegoat for human-caused warming, Mann told LiveScience.
"Solar activity continues to be one of the last
bastions of contrarians," Mann said. "People who don't accept the existence of
anthropogenic climate change still try to point to solar activity."
(Agencies)