Also supporting the belief that demand will keep
growing was the Energy Information Administration's short-term energy outlook
released yesterday; the EIA predicted that oil demand will be 2.7 percent higher
in the first quarter of 2007 than the same period a year ago, and that natural
gas demand will surge 11 percent this year from 2006.
The EIA also said that the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries slashed more of its crude output in February, and that the
US retail gasoline price will average 2.62 U.S. dollars a gallon (69 cents a
liter) in the second quarter. Yesterday, the average US pump price for regular
gasoline was 2.49 U.S. dollars (65 cents a liter), up from 2.48 U.S. dollars a
day earlier.
On the Nymex, gasoline futures rose 0.86 cent to
settle at 1.8533 U.S. dollars a gallon, heating oil futures rose 2.25 cents to
settle at 1.7473 U.S. dollars a gallon, and natural gas prices rose 21.8 cents
to settle at 7.472 U.S. dollars per 1,000 cubic feet.
Tensions between Iran and the United States continued
to lift oil prices. Washington is pushing for tougher UN sanctions on Tehran
over its failure to comply with demands to halt its uranium enrichment program.
Meanwhile, a major oil spill at a Nigerian Royal
Dutch Shell PLC production facility, which the company said Monday reduced
output at the facility by 187,000 barrels a day, also spurred energy traders to
buy.
The energy market's next move will depend largely on
today's US weekly inventory report from the EIA. According to a survey of
analysts by Dow Jones Newswires, analysts on average expect crude stocks are
expected to rise by 2 million barrels; gasoline stocks to fall for the fourth
week in a row by 1.4 million barrels; and distillate stocks to fall by 2.3
million barrels.
(Source: Shanghai
Daily)