BEIJING, Feb. 28 -- The country's stock market
yesterday suffered its steepest daily fall in the past decade, with the
benchmark Shanghai Composite Index plunging nearly 9 percent to close at 2,771.
On Monday, the Shanghai index gained 1.4 per cent to 3,040.60, extending a spate of record high closes.
The Shenzhen Composite Index sank 8.54 percent
yesterday to 709.81.
Partly in reaction to the mainland plunge, Hong
Kong's blue chip Hang Seng Index fell 360 points, or 1.8 percent.
Wall Street fell sharply in early trading yesterday,
joining a global stock decline on growing concerns about slowing economy in the
US.
Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned
on Monday that the US economy may be headed for a recession.
The Dow Jones industrials was down more than 120
points, or nearly 1 per cent.
European markets were also rattled in afternoon
trading. Britain's FTSE 100 was down 2.28 percent, Germany's DAX index was down
2.44 percent, and France's CAC-40 was down 2.87 percent.
But the fall in the Chinese market was caused not by
any bad figures, or gloomy forecast. While some analysts cited pressure for
profit taking as the major reason, others said the loss of about 800 billion
yuan (102 billion U.S.dollars) in market capitalization was primarily triggered
by a rumor about capital gains tax.
Well-renowned economist Wu Jinglian, a senior fellow
with the Development Research Center of the State Council, has long called for
collection of such a tax.
China Daily had no way to confirm that the government
may be planning to levy a capital gains tax on investors but none of the
government agencies has officially declared it was just a rumor either.
The government does not usually issue an official
statement about something it was not doing or planning to do, according to Li
Zhenning, president of Shanghai Rising Fund Management Co. He predicted that the
market would pick up after one or two days.
The scale of the decline, however, surprised many.
He Jun, vice-president of Anbound Consultation Co,
said: "Although the market index was at a high level and people were expecting a
correction, what happened was astonishing."
The Shanghai index soared 130 percent last year.
He Jun said he had heard market rumors about a
possible capital gains tax.
"This could have been a major trigger for such a
plummet, promoting profit-taking funds to leave the market," he said.
But he believed the market would continue to be
bullish this year.
Some analysts looked to the fundamentals to explain
the unexpected fall yesterday.
Dong Chen, a senior analyst at CITIC China
Securities, said: "Investors will unlikely be satisfied by the annual reports to
be released by many listed companies. Their performance will provide no support
for the high share prices."
Sources from Xiang Cai Securities said that the P/E
ratio of the yuan-denominated A shares was double that of the world's average,
indicating growing risks.
So yesterday's correction, Dong said, was "a good
thing because it will pave the way for a healthy market in the long-run".
So long as China's macro-economic environment remains
sound, investors still have a good chance to earn from the A-share market,
analysts said.
Despite worries about too high share prices and
management problems at large State-owned companies, analysts interviewed by
China Daily all said the market stands a good chance this year.
Stephen Green, senior economist with the Global
Research Division of Standard Chartered Bank, said the plunge has nothing to do
with the overall economic situation.
"I don't think the drop is caused by the central
bank's latest reserve ratio hike," he said.
The People's Bank of China, the central bank,
required that commercial banks set aside 10 percent of their deposits starting
February 25, up from 9.5 percent.
But Green said he sees at least one interest rate
hike in the pipeline.
"You can lock some of the funds up in the banking
system, but sooner or later if you want to control credit growth and investment,
you simply have to make borrowing more expensive."
(Source: China Daily)