BEIJING, Feb. 6 (Xinhua) -- The trade dispute between
China and the United States is unlikely to lead to trade war as the two
countries share overlapping interests, said Li Xiangyang, the Deputy Director of
the Institute of World Economics and Politics (IWEP) of Chinese Academy of
Social Sciences.
The U. S. government Friday filed a complaint with
the World Trade Organization (WTO) in Geneva, alleging that China is providing
companies with improper subsidies to help its companies compete in world
markets.
U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab said China's
government support for steel, wood, information technology and other industries
hurt U.S. firms and prevent them from competing fairly but did not elaborate.
This is the fourth time that Washington complained to
the WTO about China's trade policies. The previous three related to China's auto
parts import regulation, brown paper and semi-conductor sectors.
"There is no new or strong evidence that could prove
China has launched improper trade policies", said Li. "We hope both sides could
settle the dispute through a consultation."
The United States tried to team up with other powers
including Japan and the European Union in filing a WTO complaint against China
over its industrial subsidies before, but invitations were not accepted.
The United States has asked to open a consultation
process which is the first stage of the dispute settlement procedure of the
world trade body at WTO over China's industrial subsidies.
The consultation will usually last two months. If it
fails, a WTO panel of experts will be formed to handle the dispute.
"The government should brace for the upcoming
consultation with U.S. and figure out how to settle trade disputes under WTO
multilateral regulations", said Jin Bosheng, an expert from the Chinese Academy
of International trade and Economic Cooperation.
"As the world's third largest trader, China needs to
understand how to win the battle under the multilateral rules", said Jin.
"My judgment is that the complaint is probably a
reflection of the power struggle inside the U.S. government," said Li Xiangyang.
The Bush administration might use this complaint to
cater to the trade protectionists of Congress in exchange for the renewal of his
fast-track trade promotion authority which was set to expire on July 1, in an
attempt to rekindle the stalled Doha Round of trade liberalization talks, he
said.
America's free trade agreements negotiations with
Malaysia, Thailand and the Republic of Korea may also count on the extension of
the trade promotion authority, Li added.
Wang Yong, director of the Political and Economic
Research Center of the Beijing University, said that China should caution
against aggravated trade protectionist force in the United States.
"A worry is that Bush administration might choose to
sacrifice its trade relationship with China," he said.
While China's trade surplus surged to record high
177.5 billion U.S. dollars, the country was subject to 86 anti-dumping and trade
protection probes in 2006, a year-on-year increase of 37 percent.
The investigations were launched by 25 countries and
regions, involving a combined value of 2.05 billion dollars, and 48 cases
reached adjudication in 2006, of which 21 ended without taking measures.