BEIJING, Jan. 28 (Xinhuanet) -- NASA astronaut
Edward Lu believes America's space agency should design and build a small space
tractor that would snuggle up to a planet-threatening astroid and give it a
gravitational nudge to change its path to avoid a collision with Earth.
Lu told an audience at the University of Hawaii-Manoa
Monday evening the 200 million U.S. dollar to 300 million dollar spacecraft
would exert enough gravitational pull to alter an astroid's orbit.
"We're only trying to get a really tiny change in the
velocity of the asteroid to prevent an impact," said Lu, a former University of
Hawaii solar physicist.
Lu was a member of a panel that included three Hawaii
scientists who characterized the chances of an asteroid colliding with Earth as
rare but deserving of the same level of attention as major earthquakes, tsunamis
and hurricanes.
The asteroid Apophis will pass within about 20,000
miles of Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029.
"It's going to come so close to the Earth in 2029
that its orbit will change, and it might change enough so that it comes back and
hits us in 2036," said Hawaii planetary scientist David Tholen, who discovered
Apophis.
During the asteroid's next close pass to the sun in
2013, that risk will be assessed in radar surveys, he said.
Objects the size of a grain of sand frequently hit
Earth's atmosphere, appearing as shooting stars in the night sky. But a larger
impact could be devastating. Asteroids are blamed for the death of the dinosaurs
65 million years ago and an explosion over Tunguska, Russia, in 1908 that wiped
out 60 million trees over a 830-square-mile area.
According to a presentation by university astronomer
Robert Jedicke, a Tunguska-size explosion would be able to blast or burn nearly
all of Oahu.
Because the devastation would be great, the risk to a
person of perishing in a major asteroid collision is about 1 in 10,000 or 20,000
over a 100-year lifetime -- the same risk associated with dying in a plane
crash, Jedicke said.
The University of Hawaii's Pan-STARRS program would
train four powerful digital cameras toward the heavens to watch for would-be
intruders.
Officials from the project are hoping to garner
public support for putting the equipment on Mauna Kea. The telescopes also could
be built at two sites on Haleakala, where a prototype is being built, but
scientists warn the project would take twice as long to complete there.
Environmentalists and Hawaiian activists have argued
against additional development on Mauna Kea, and some scientists have expressed
concern about additional construction, as the volcano already hosts 13
telescopes.
The program would be able to provide decades of
warning of an impending impact, the scientists said.
That would be enough time to launch a tractor
spacecraft to knudge the asteroid into a safe orbit, said Lu, who spent six
months aboard the international space station in 2003 and was a postdoctoral
fellow at the University of Hawaii's astronomy institute from 1992 to 1995.
To do nothing would be to invite disaster, he said.
"If we are wiped out by an asteroid, that will be our
own fault at this point," he said.
(Agencies)