DAVOS, Switzerland, Jan. 25 (Xinhua) -- China's
policy to gradually let its currency gain value makes sense and a rush would
damage both the Chinese economy and the world economy, said William J.
McDonough, vice chairman of Merrill Lynch, on Thursday.
The Chinese government's decision to have the RMB
yuan increase its value on gradual basis against the U.S. dollar is quite
understandable, he told a panel of the annual meeting of the World Economic
Forum.
"In purely academic theory, the RMB yuan should be
fairly stronger against the dollar. But we don't live in a purely theoretical
world," he said in reply to a question on whether China has sensible
responsibility on the health of the dollar.
He explained that with China's deepening
participation in the world economy, China needs ultimately to open its capital
account.
The Chinese government has realized the need and
decided to do it gradually and carefully, an approach which also won approval of
McDonough.
China's financial system dealt mainly with state
enterprises 10years ago. The system is getting complicated, but it is a gradual
process before it is ready for the opening of the capital account, he said.
"If you completely open the capital account, it will
be a brutal hit to a financial system, which, in my view, is not yet ready for
it."
Given the high savings level in China, there could be
a pretty significant capital counter-flow if the capital account is completely
open, a scenario which, he said, is not in the immediate interest of the Chinese
people.
"I think for the Chinese to go too fast would be a
risk for the Chinese economy. And as such an important player in the world
economy, I don't think that would be in the interest of the world economy,
either."
He said the Chinese government's strategy to reform
its capital account gradually and let the RMB reach its pure economic level in
due course is a policy that makes sense.