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Doom and gloom forecasts on post-WTO China falter
www.chinaview.cn 2006-12-10 08:25:17

2006 Beijing Auto Show (Xinhua Photo)
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    Lingering worries

    What did catch China off guard, however, was the explosion of trade disputes which it had hoped would diminish with the WTO membership.

    Antidumping moves against China affect exports worth between 40 billion to 50 billion U.S. dollars a year. Now about one in seven antidumping complaints are lodged against China.

    "China cannot afford to underestimate the negative impact of its ballooning trade," warned professor Zhang Hanlin of the University of International Business and Economics.

    While the year's foreign trade surged 24.3 percent to 1.593 trillion U.S. dollars through November, China's customs indicated the full-year trade surplus is likely to hit a new high of 168 billion U.S. dollars.

    Excessively rapid growth in international trade growth could also aggravate the economy's over dependence on imports and exports and sour China's trade relations with other partners, Zhang noted.

    Other ambushes might come from improper economic management by governments, warned director Zhang Xiangchen of the WTO Affairs Department of the Ministry of Commerce.

    With the five-year transition period coming to an end, Zhang says the government must continue to reform its management methods and abandon once and for all the practices of the old controlled economy which contravene WTO rules.

    As competition in banking, agriculture and other sectors are likely to intensify, it would be wishful thinking for China to expect smooth sailing in the years to come.

    To defuse risks, China must "learn to strike a proper balance between WTO compliance and an active effort to evolve the existing WTO rules for the good of the vast number of developing countries," Mei said.    

    China's moves in 2006 to open up economy

    Agriculture -- The tariffs quota on vegetable oil was removed on Jan. 1, 2006 while the average tariffs for agricultural produce is expected to decline to 15.2 percent.

    Automobiles -- China chopped the tariffs for whole-car imports of sedans, cross-country vehicles and mini-buses to 25 percent in line with its WTO commitments on July 1.

    Petrochemicals -- Under two new regulations issued on Dec. 7, China will open the wholesale market for crude oil and refined oilproducts as of January 1, 2007. The move will break the longstanding monopoly of state-owed enterprises China National Petroleum Corporation and China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation.

    Banking -- Regulations on Administration of Foreign-funded Banks will take effect on Dec. 11, a landmark document marking the open-up of China's banking industry.

    Foreign exchange rates -- China revalued the yuan by 2.1 percent against the dollar in July 2005 and has since allowed the currency to appreciate another 3.6 percent.

    Continuing pledge -- Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao reiterated that China won't hesitate in sticking to the opening up policy and fulfill its WTO commitments at the third China-ASEAN Expo in November.


Editor: Nie Peng
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