BEIJING, Nov. 5 (Xinhua) -- China will maintain its
prudent monetary and fiscal policies next year in face of anticipated heated
investment, excessive bank loans and an expanding trade surplus.
Two senior officials disclosed the trends of China's
macro-economic policies next year at the 2007 China Industrial Development Forum
at the weekend.
China would continue its prudent fiscal policy and
reduce its deficits slightly next year, said Vice Minister of Finance Lou Jiwei,
adding the reduction would small as more money would go to education, health and
rural development.
The monetary policy would also be prudent in a bid to
maintain the continuity and stability of the macro-control policies, said Su
Ning, vice governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC).
China's gross domestic product grew by 10.7 percent
in the first nine months this year. Fixed asset investment was up 27.3 percent,
1.2 percentage points higher than the rise at the same time last year.
New bank loans totaled 2.76 trillion yuan (349
billion U.S. dollars) in the first nine months, overshooting the planned annual
quota of 2.5 trillion yuan (316 billion U.S. dollars). Meanwhile, the trade
surplus reached 109.85 billion U.S. dollars, compared with 101.88 billion
dollars for 2005.
"High bank savings and low consumption have become
one of the main problems for China's economy, directly causing fixed asset
investment to race ahead," said Su, adding that the proportion of consumption to
the national economy had dropped 10 percentage points in the past decade while
that of savings had been climbing.
Su said the government deposits in the central bank
had reached a record high and about 500 billion yuan (62.5 billion dollars)
would be withdrawn by the end of the year.
Its entry into the market would increase the money
supply and lead to a rise in bank loans. The PBOC would take measures to control
possible loan increase, said Su.
China tightened fiscal policy two years ago in the
hope of capping the galloping fixed asset investment and preventing possible
overheating of the economy.
As investment kept soaring in the first three
quarters, some analysts held that China should tighten money supply to help
strengthen macro-economic control.
"What we should do now is to strictly carry out the
macro-economic control policies and keep them stable," said Zhu Zhixin, vice
minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, who also appealed
for increasing domestic demand.
Next year, Zhu said, the government would continue
its macro-economic control measures to prevent it a rebound while encouraging
investment in education, science and rural development.
More capital would be channeled to environmentally
friendly construction to facilitate economic restructuring, said
Zhu.