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BEIJING, May 26 (Xinhua) -- The government may bail out the debt-laden Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) with a huge funding injection to shore up the state lender's balance sheets in preparation for market listing, an economic official said.
Vice-chairman Wang Jianxi, of the Central Huijin Investment
Corporation, a major investment arm of the central government, said, "If the
Agricultural Bank starts its transformation into a shareholding firm, there are
great possibilities for Huijin to pour funds into it."
Quoted by a Xinhua-run economic newspaper, he said the bank's
"historical burdens are too heavy," but he did not confirm how much would be
required to relieve it.
Analysts agree that it would need up to 70 billion U.S. dollars to
clear its non-performing loans before it could meet overseas listing standards.
Of China's "big four" lenders, only the ABC has yet to begin major
reforms carried out by the others with bail-out packages totaling 60 billion
from late 2003 till April 2005.
China Construction Bank (CCB) was the first to list in Hong Kong last
month, while the Bank of China (BOC) is wrapping up final preparations for its
shares trading on June 1. The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (IBCB),
the biggest in terms of assets, is expected to follow suit soon after.
The government must restructure its banks by the end of this year
prior to the full opening of the country's financial markets to foreign rivals
under a commitment to the World Trade Organization in 2001. Analysts and
economic officials agree domestic banks have piled up a mountain of problem
debts due to reckless lending to state-owned enterprises, sapping their
competitiveness.
The ABC is widely believed to be the worst hit on massive lending to
the rural sector, with a non-performing loan ratio of 24.75 percent reported at
the end of March, compared with the one to two percent level reported by
established overseas banks.
Wang said he could not rule out the possibility the ABC would receive
a different bail-out package from the other state banks, indicating the planned
capital inflow might not only come from Huijin.
He believed the reform process should not be too fast. "We should
take into account its shock in state-owned enterprises, as the market retreat of
state banks -- a large part of their loans flowed into state firms -- would
create a block for the firms' restructuring."
Accelerated reforms would also hamper the role of banks in supporting
the development of the "new socialist countryside", a policy of the central
government to narrow the urban-rural development gap that has opened in the
reform and opening-up drive of the past two decades.
The formerly state-owned banks might balk at lending to the rural
sector and instead, enter the urban market with higher profits, he explained.
Li Zhicheng, the ABC's research office chief, said on Tuesday that
the bank would go public as a whole, quashing rumors that it would sell its
Beijing headquarters and become a group of provincial-level banks.
Li said transforming the entire bank into a shareholding company was
in line with international trends and would help maintain its advantage of
remote business outlets in the countryside.
The ABC employs approximately 477,000 people, a drop of 169,000since
the end of 2000. It posted operating profits of 9.27 billion yuan (1.15 billion
dollars) in the first quarter.
On Tuesday, China Banking Regulatory Commission vice-chairman Cai
Esheng cautioned at a finance forum in Beijing that commercial bank reform had
still only achieved "preliminary" results, with many lenders suffering from weak
risk controls, a lack of experienced managers and backward information
technology systems.
"It is absolutely impossible to succeed at this in one go," he said.
"We must take an objective view of the reforms' achievements and problems and
prevent any bravado or over-estimation of the results." Enditem |