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BEIJING, May 18 -- HONG KONG: Bank of China (BOC),
which is expected to launch the world's largest initial public offering (IPO) in
the last six years, will attract a great deal of individual investors with the
opening of its retail tranche, analysts said.
That signals overseas investors' increasing
confidence in the mainland's banking sector.
"Hong Kong residents now favour mainland banks," said
Andes Cheng, an analyst with South China Research Ltd.
"BOC (Hong Kong), Bank of Communications (BoCom) and
China Construction Bank (CCB) all generated a lot of buzz when they floated
their shares. BOC will not be an exception," said Cheng. He said he would
personally buy some shares.
Hordes of locals are expected to rush to securities
houses and banks to subscribe to BOC shares, investing an estimated amount of
more than HK$200 billion (US$25 billion) over four days, said Kingston Lin,
Prudential Brokerage's associate director.
Four years ago, local investors liked to talk about
the huge amount of non-performing loans in mainland banks. But now they are
willing to invest in these lenders for higher profits.
This is because the banks have improved a lot since
the introduction of overseas strategic investors, shareholding reforms and
listing efforts, Cheng said.
Citing BOC's cheap prices and high dividend payout
ratio, some analysts said the largest-ever IPO launched by a mainland firm will
attract more subscriptions than that of CCB's. CCB's US$9.2-billion deal was
oversubscribed by 42 times last year, while BoCom's was oversubscribed by 204
times.
BOC is selling 25.57 billion H shares, or 10.5 per
cent of its enlarged share capital, for between HK$2.5 (30 US cents) and HK$3
(37.5 US cents) per share.
The price values the lender at 1.9 times to 2.2 times
its book value, which is at least 15 per cent cheaper than rivals CCB and BoCom.
"It's pretty attractive," said Louis Wong, a director
at Philip Asset Management.
Even the recent setback of Hong Kong's stock market
will not dampen investors' buying enthusiasm, Wong said.
"Mainland banking stocks are relatively insulated
from the recent market lull," he said.
Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng index experienced the
biggest one-day decline in nearly two years on Monday, dropping 2.41 per cent to
16,494.84.
It continued to sink by 0.62 per cent the following
day.
Indeed, the lure of BOC's IPO has been on show even
before the opening of its public offering; some analysts say it led to the
lukewarm response to other IPOs. Enditem
(Source: China Daily)
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