BEIJING, May 15 (Xinhua) -- China's currency, the yuan,
breached the psychologically important barrier of eight yuan to the U.S. dollar
on Monday, the central bank announced amid strong market
expectations.
According to a People's Bank of China announcement, the
yuan's daily benchmark, or central parity, rose to 7.9982 against the dollar.
Generally, the currency has been inching upward since its July 21 revaluation
and today's close was its highest. On Friday, the rate was
8.0082.
The central parity is based on a weighted average of
enquired prices from all market makers, including major domestic banks, before
the market opens each business day.
China raised the value of yuan by 2 percent and
started linking it to a basket of foreign currencies last July, scrapping its
decade-old peg to the U.S. dollar.
The yuan, limited to moving 0.3 percent above or
below each day's parity rate against the U.S. dollar, has now risen more than3
percent since July.
But the United States said the rise was too small to
make a big dent in its huge trade deficits with China. American manufactures
contend that the yuan is undervalued by as much as 40 percent, making U.S. goods
more expensive in China and Chinese products cheaper in the United
States.
In an interview with Xinhua, finance expert Tan Yaling
with the Bank of China said the breaching of the eight-yuan phenomenon is
"actually not a surprise. Eight is a very sensitive point. There were intense
market expectations (for the dollar-yuan exchange rate) to fall below 8. It did
not materialize last week," she said.
"Although the central bank expects a stable exchange rate,
the hopes of overseas and domestic institutions are too high."
She said China's robust economic growth, hefty bank
lending and the world's largest foreign exchange reserves combined to push the
yuan higher. However, the economy's serious structural problems, featuring
overheated investment, strong exports and lackluster consumer spending, do not
support a currency appreciation.
Meanwhile, Tan said the yuan's rise would probably
aggravate China's deflationary risks; the country's consumer price index, the
leading measure of inflation, has seen a continuous decline in recent years,
dropping to 1.2 percent in the first quarter.
She urged quantitative analysis, based on both Western
economic theories and actual scenarios in China, to establish a reasonable
exchange rate.
A State Administration of Foreign Exchange official,
who asked to be unidentified, echoed Tan's remarks, saying that the yuan's
depreciation below eight against the dollar is "in line with his foresight."
"But the rate might climb back above eight with
changes of market factors," he told Xinhua.
Speaking of future yuan reforms, the official said
market forces should be given full play in determining the currency's value.
A Standard Chartered prediction is that the yuan
would rise to 7.8 against the dollar by the end of this year. Wang Zhihao, an
economist at the bank, said he believes the yuan's value would stay on the
upside in the short run.
On Thursday, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesman Liu
Jianchao said China appreciates the newly-released U.S. current report that
didn't list China as a currency manipulator.
He said the report, released by the U.S. Treasury
Department on May 10, took note of China's efforts in boosting domestic demands,
establishing a more flexible foreign exchange mechanism and financial reforms.
Encouraged by the report and the U.S. Federal Reserve
decision to lift the benchmark short-term interest rate by a quarter-percentage
point -- which strengthened the dollar -- the Chinese currency failed to gain
much ground last week.
Han Fuling, a finance research fellow with Central
University of Finance and Economics, said he believes that the appreciation of
the yuan will bring more overseas funds into China's stock market, which
continued last week's strong growth on Monday with major index closing at a new
two-year high of 1,664.09 points, a rise of 3.82 percent from Friday's
close.
China share prices have soared in recent weeks on
institutional buying and improved confidence and optimism over a resumption of
share offerings after a year-long break that saw new reforms put in place.
Overseas speculators, betting on a yuan rise, were
buying heavily yuan-denominated assets including stocks in recent years.
However, Han said fresh money inflows are "good news" for the stock market which
have remained bearish for years. Enditem
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