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BEIJING, Feb. 16(Xinhuanet) -- Researchers have designed a
new test that can help determine your chance of dying within the next four
years.
Aimed at the over 50s, the 12-question test doesn't ask what you eat, but it does ask if you can push a living room
chair across the floor.
The more points you get, the greater your risk. Zero to 5
points says your risk of dying in four years is less than 4 per cent. With 14
points, your risk rises to 64 per cent. Points accrue with each four-year
increment after age 60.
The quiz, published in Wednesday's Journal of
the American Medical Association, covers topics including age, BMI (body mass
index), smoking, diabetes, cancer, heart disease, and trouble with daily
activities due to poor health or memory problems.
The test is based on data involving 11,701 Americans over
50 who took part in a national health survey in 1998. The research analyzed
participant outcomes during a four-year follow-up period.
This test is roughly 81% accurate and can give older
people a reasonable idea of their survival chances, according to Dr Sei Lee, a
researcher at the San Francisco Veterans Affairs Medical Centre, who helped
develop the test.
"Even if somebody looks at their numbers and finds they
have a 60 per cent risk of death, there could be other mitigating factors," said
co-author and VA researcher Dr Kenneth Covinsky.
There are things you can do to improve your chances, he notes, such as quitting smoking or taking up exercise.
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