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BEIJING, Feb. 6 -- Chinese mainland stock markets may
rally this year even as many investors remain jittery about lax corporate
governance and policy uncertainties, key analysts told Shanghai Daily.
Market watchers are optimistic that completion of the government's plan to transform state-held
equity into publicly traded shares and other reform efforts will generate new
interest in yuan-denominated stock.
Indeed, the mainland's main stock indexes have gained
more than 10 percent since the year's start after losing half their value since
their 2001 heyday.
"After a five-year plunge, we'll finally wriggle out
of the pattern this year," said Li Zhi, a Hualin Securities Co analyst. "Funds
are expected to flow into the market as the result of expectation that the stock
shakeup will create a better investment scenario."
China's mainland in May rekindled a twice-scrapped
project to move as much as US$250 billion in mostly state-held equity onto the
Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses, hoping to plug a shortfall in pension
obligations. In the meantime, all initial public offerings were halted to
prevent a stock glut.
The transformation, which could be wrapped up before
the end of this year, initially sparked panic selling, dropping indexes to
eight-year lows. But the selloff abated as large institutional investors held
their positions.
"With the indexes edging up, retail investors will
gradually return to trading," said Li. "Institutions such as insurers, pensions
and overseas banks will restore interest in the markets, partly thanks to low
pricing and the country's economic boom."
Chinese mainland's economy expanded 9.9 percent in 2005 and is forecast to grow at least 9 percent this year, boosting household incomes and consumer spending, developments that could lift share prices of retailers and financial institutions, analysts said.
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