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BEIJING, Jan. 11 -- China's economy will slow to a
still sizzling growth rate of 8.5 percent to 9 percent this year, the state
planning agency said in a report published Wednesday.
Efforts to slow economic growth by curbing spending on large construction projects, among other measures, so far
appear to have had limited impact, with growth last year estimated at 9.8
percent, according to the National Development and Reform Commission.
That forecast was 0.4 percent above previous
estimates, due to a massive revision of economic data following a nationwide
economic census that found larger than expected activity in the services sector.
The commission, in a report carried by the state-run
China Securities Journal, said there would be a slight slowdown this year.
It said "2006 could be a year for macro control
policies to continue to show effects."
China's consumer price index, its main measure for
inflation, is expected to rise only 1 percent this year, and maybe yield to
deflation later in the year, due to overproduction in many industries and soft
domestic demand, the report said.
It predicted that China's exports would rise about 15
percent year-on-year and imports about 18 percent, moderating due to higher oil
prices and simmering friction over China's burgeoning trade surpluses.
China has yet to issue full-year 2005 export and
import data. In January-November last year, exports rose 29.7 percent on-year to
$686.6 billion and imports increased 17.1 percent to $595.7 billion, according
to Ministry of Commerce data.
The report also said China would not make significant
revisions in the value of its currency, the yuan, although it would continue to
liberalize foreign exchange policies.
(Source: CRIENGLISH/AP) |