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LOS ANGELES, Nov. 25 (Xinhuanet)
-- With the first in-depth analysis of the air bubbles trapped in the ice core
of
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The world gets warm and the winter is late
in Beijing, Nov. 24, 2005.(Xinhuanet) | east
Antarctica, scientists have discovered that today's atmospheric carbon dioxide
levels are the highest in 650,000 years.
The analysis highlights the fact that today's rising
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, at 380 parts per million by volume, is
already 27 percent higher than its highest recorded level during the last
650,000 years, reported scientists in two papers in the Nov. 25 issue of the
journal Science.
One study chronicles the stable relationship between
climate and the carbon cycle during the Pleistocene (650,000 to 390,000 years
ago). The second paper documents atmospheric methane and nitrous oxide levels
over the same period.
Carbon dioxide and methane, known as greenhouse
gases, are blamed for global warming. Scientists believe that humans have been
accelerating the global warming trend by emitting more greenhouse gas through
industrialization.
The ice core from Antarctica, containing hundreds of
thousands of years-worth of atmospheric air samples within tiny bubbles trapped
in the ice, adds to this argument by extending Earth's greenhouse gas record by
210,000 years.
The new records should help scientists better
understand climate change and the nature of the current warm period on Earth,
and may also aid researchers in reducing uncertainty in predictions of future
climate change, said the researchers.
"We have added another piece of information showing
that the timescales on which humans have changed the composition of the
atmosphere are extremely short compared to the natural time cycles of the
climate system," Thomas Stocker, senior author for both studies, said in a
statement.
The new studies confirm the stable relationship
between the Antarctic climate and greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane
during the last four glacial cycles.
The ice core analysis also extends this relationship
back another two glacial cycles, to a time when the warm "interglacial" periods
were milder and longer than more recent warm periods, according to the
researchers.
The new atmospheric and climate records from the ice
core also indicate that the response of the natural carbon cycle to climate
warming remains the same over time, explained the researchers.
The new ice core analysis provides insights on our
present interglacial warm period through a glimpse into Antarctic climate and
greenhouse gas concentrations during the most recent warm period that is
relatively similar to our current warm period. Known as Marine Isotope Stage 11
or MIS 11, this analog warm period occurred between 420,000 and 400,000 years
ago.
The similarities between our current warm period and
MIS 11 are primarily due to a similar configuration of the orbits of the Earth
around the Sun: the relative positions of the Earth and Sun are thought to be
the key driver of ice age cycles.
"MIS 11 shows us that the climate system can indeed
reside in a warm period for 20,000 or 30,000 years, something that we can't say
based on the last three warm phases which are no longer than about 10,000 years
each," said Stocker.
The greenhouse gas record also provides indirect
evidence for abrupt climate change in the past, the researchers found. This
suggests that abrupt climatic events on time scales relevant to societies may be
common features of the last climatic cycles. Enditem |